Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov's April 18 statement that Moscow is in no rush to resume Ukraine peace talks, prioritizing other issues amid its spring offensive, anchors trader consensus implying a 58% probability of no ceasefire by June 30, 2027. A brief 32-hour Orthodox Easter truce last weekend collapsed amid mutual accusations of hundreds of violations, underscoring persistent hostilities despite U.S.-brokered discussions in March that yielded prisoner exchanges but stalled over territorial demands and maximalist positions. Ongoing Russian strikes on Ukrainian cities and Kyiv's insistence on security guarantees before concessions highlight deep divides, with negotiations paused partly due to U.S. focus on the Iran conflict; upcoming potential White House envoy visits to Kyiv offer slim prospects for de-escalation before midterms.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트러시아 x 2027년 6월 30일까지 우크라이나 휴전?
러시아 x 2027년 6월 30일까지 우크라이나 휴전?
예
$16,055 거래량
$16,055 거래량
2027.06.30
예
$16,055 거래량
$16,055 거래량
2027.06.30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov's April 18 statement that Moscow is in no rush to resume Ukraine peace talks, prioritizing other issues amid its spring offensive, anchors trader consensus implying a 58% probability of no ceasefire by June 30, 2027. A brief 32-hour Orthodox Easter truce last weekend collapsed amid mutual accusations of hundreds of violations, underscoring persistent hostilities despite U.S.-brokered discussions in March that yielded prisoner exchanges but stalled over territorial demands and maximalist positions. Ongoing Russian strikes on Ukrainian cities and Kyiv's insistence on security guarantees before concessions highlight deep divides, with negotiations paused partly due to U.S. focus on the Iran conflict; upcoming potential White House envoy visits to Kyiv offer slim prospects for de-escalation before midterms.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
마켓 개설일: Apr 1, 2026, 2:20 PM ET
거래량
$16,055종료일
2027.06.30마켓 개설일
Apr 1, 2026, 2:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov's April 18 statement that Moscow is in no rush to resume Ukraine peace talks, prioritizing other issues amid its spring offensive, anchors trader consensus implying a 58% probability of no ceasefire by June 30, 2027. A brief 32-hour Orthodox Easter truce last weekend collapsed amid mutual accusations of hundreds of violations, underscoring persistent hostilities despite U.S.-brokered discussions in March that yielded prisoner exchanges but stalled over territorial demands and maximalist positions. Ongoing Russian strikes on Ukrainian cities and Kyiv's insistence on security guarantees before concessions highlight deep divides, with negotiations paused partly due to U.S. focus on the Iran conflict; upcoming potential White House envoy visits to Kyiv offer slim prospects for de-escalation before midterms.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
거래량
$16,055종료일
2027.06.30마켓 개설일
Apr 1, 2026, 2:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov's April 18 statement that Moscow is in no rush to resume Ukraine peace talks, prioritizing other issues amid its spring offensive, anchors trader consensus implying a 58% probability of no ceasefire by June 30, 2027. A brief 32-hour Orthodox Easter truce last weekend collapsed amid mutual accusations of hundreds of violations, underscoring persistent hostilities despite U.S.-brokered discussions in March that yielded prisoner exchanges but stalled over territorial demands and maximalist positions. Ongoing Russian strikes on Ukrainian cities and Kyiv's insistence on security guarantees before concessions highlight deep divides, with negotiations paused partly due to U.S. focus on the Iran conflict; upcoming potential White House envoy visits to Kyiv offer slim prospects for de-escalation before midterms.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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