Trader consensus favors Libre – Liberty and Democracy (LIBRE) slightly over Autonomy for Bolivia – Súmate (APB Súmate) to win the most of nine gubernatorial races, reflecting fragmented first-round results from March 22 that sent five departments—Santa Cruz, Tarija, Chuquisaca, Beni, and Oruro—to runoffs tomorrow, April 19. LIBRE candidates advanced strongly alongside APB Súmate contenders in key eastern battlegrounds, amid opposition splintering after MAS's 2025 national collapse from Arce-Morales infighting. President Rodrigo Paz's alliances secured La Paz and others outright, but regional turnout, final endorsements, and undecided voters could tip multiple close matchups, determining the party winner. MAS trails at 2.5% with minimal viability.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Christian Democratic Party (PDC) 43%
Unity Bloc (UNIDAD) 31.4%
Popular Alliance (AP) 9.0%
Movement for Socialism (MAS-IPSP) 2.6%
$981 거래량
$981 거래량

Christian Democratic Party (PDC)
23%

Unity Bloc (UNIDAD)
31%

Popular Alliance (AP)
24%

Movement for Socialism (MAS-IPSP)
3%

Libre – Liberty and Democracy (LIBRE)
56%

Autonomy for Bolivia – Súmate (APB Súmate)
36%
Christian Democratic Party (PDC) 43%
Unity Bloc (UNIDAD) 31.4%
Popular Alliance (AP) 9.0%
Movement for Socialism (MAS-IPSP) 2.6%
$981 거래량
$981 거래량

Christian Democratic Party (PDC)
23%

Unity Bloc (UNIDAD)
31%

Popular Alliance (AP)
24%

Movement for Socialism (MAS-IPSP)
3%

Libre – Liberty and Democracy (LIBRE)
56%

Autonomy for Bolivia – Súmate (APB Súmate)
36%
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Bolivia’s departments include the following:
La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order.
This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
마켓 개설일: Jan 6, 2026, 5:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Bolivia’s departments include the following:
La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order.
This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Libre – Liberty and Democracy (LIBRE) slightly over Autonomy for Bolivia – Súmate (APB Súmate) to win the most of nine gubernatorial races, reflecting fragmented first-round results from March 22 that sent five departments—Santa Cruz, Tarija, Chuquisaca, Beni, and Oruro—to runoffs tomorrow, April 19. LIBRE candidates advanced strongly alongside APB Súmate contenders in key eastern battlegrounds, amid opposition splintering after MAS's 2025 national collapse from Arce-Morales infighting. President Rodrigo Paz's alliances secured La Paz and others outright, but regional turnout, final endorsements, and undecided voters could tip multiple close matchups, determining the party winner. MAS trails at 2.5% with minimal viability.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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