Market icon
政治·トランプ大統領

トランプ大統領は次の日までに中国を訪問するか？

Market icon
政治·トランプ大統領

トランプ大統領は次の日までに中国を訪問するか？

$12,713,753 Vol.

Oct 31, 2025
Polymarket

$12,713,753 Vol.

Polymarket

2026年3月31日

$6,121,358 Vol.

<1%

2026年4月30日

$4,930,469 Vol.

3%

5月31日

$678,997 Vol.

74%

6月30日

$439,666 Vol.

78%

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Donald Trump's anticipated state visit to China was recently rescheduled by the White House to May 14-15 in Beijing for a summit with President Xi Jinping, following a postponement of the original late March plan due to the ongoing U.S. conflict with Iran and security concerns in the Strait of Hormuz. Traders note China's noncommittal stance on assisting with Iran-related pressures, amid broader bilateral tensions over trade, tariffs, and regional stability. No visit has occurred since Trump's 2017 trip, with prior engagement limited to their October 2025 meeting in Busan, South Korea. The May summit could address diplomacy on Iran, trade deals, and potential reciprocal visits, though geopolitical escalations remain a risk factor.

President Donald Trump's anticipated state visit to China was recently rescheduled by the White House to May 14-15 in Beijing for a summit with President Xi Jinping, following a postponement of the original late March plan due to the ongoing U.S. conflict with Iran and security concerns in the Strait of Hormuz. Traders note China's noncommittal stance on assisting with Iran-related pressures, amid broader bilateral tensions over trade, tariffs, and regional stability. No visit has occurred since Trump's 2017 trip, with prior engagement limited to their October 2025 meeting in Busan, South Korea. The May summit could address diplomacy on Iran, trade deals, and potential reciprocal visits, though geopolitical escalations remain a risk factor.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Donald Trump's anticipated state visit to China was recently rescheduled by the White House to May 14-15 in Beijing for a summit with President Xi Jinping, following a postponement of the original late March plan due to the ongoing U.S. conflict with Iran and security concerns in the Strait of Hormuz. Traders note China's noncommittal stance on assisting with Iran-related pressures, amid broader bilateral tensions over trade, tariffs, and regional stability. No visit has occurred since Trump's 2017 trip, with prior engagement limited to their October 2025 meeting in Busan, South Korea. The May summit could address diplomacy on Iran, trade deals, and potential reciprocal visits, though geopolitical escalations remain a risk factor.

President Donald Trump's anticipated state visit to China was recently rescheduled by the White House to May 14-15 in Beijing for a summit with President Xi Jinping, following a postponement of the original late March plan due to the ongoing U.S. conflict with Iran and security concerns in the Strait of Hormuz. Traders note China's noncommittal stance on assisting with Iran-related pressures, amid broader bilateral tensions over trade, tariffs, and regional stability. No visit has occurred since Trump's 2017 trip, with prior engagement limited to their October 2025 meeting in Busan, South Korea. The May summit could address diplomacy on Iran, trade deals, and potential reciprocal visits, though geopolitical escalations remain a risk factor.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「トランプ大統領は次の日までに中国を訪問するか？」はPolymarket上の5個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「6月30日」で78%、次いで「5月31日」が74%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、78¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に78%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「トランプ大統領は次の日までに中国を訪問するか？」は$12.7 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Sep 19, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「トランプ大統領は次の日までに中国を訪問するか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている5個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「トランプ大統領は次の日までに中国を訪問するか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「6月30日」で78%であり、市場がこの結果に78%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「5月31日」で74%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「トランプ大統領は次の日までに中国を訪問するか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。