$9,108 Vol.
$9,108 Vol.
Nov 8, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump concedes in the 2024 US presidential election by November 8, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement which acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2024 US presidential election, will not be the next President, or which acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged, or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if his declaration of victory falls outside the markets timeframe.
Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump concedes in the 2024 US presidential election by November 8, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement which acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2024 US presidential election, will not be the next President, or which acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged, or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if his declaration of victory falls outside the markets timeframe.
Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement which acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2024 US presidential election, will not be the next President, or which acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged, or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if his declaration of victory falls outside the markets timeframe.
Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
作成日： Nov 5, 2024, 5:51 PM ET
音量
$9,108終了日
Nov 8, 2024作成日時
Nov 5, 2024, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
$9,108 Vol.
$9,108 Vol.
Nov 8, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump concedes in the 2024 US presidential election by November 8, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement which acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2024 US presidential election, will not be the next President, or which acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged, or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if his declaration of victory falls outside the markets timeframe.
Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump concedes in the 2024 US presidential election by November 8, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement which acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2024 US presidential election, will not be the next President, or which acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged, or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if his declaration of victory falls outside the markets timeframe.
Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement which acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2024 US presidential election, will not be the next President, or which acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged, or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if his declaration of victory falls outside the markets timeframe.
Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
音量
$9,108終了日
Nov 8, 2024作成日時
Nov 5, 2024, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
Frequently Asked Questions
"Will Trump concede by Friday? " is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
"Will Trump concede by Friday? " is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Nov 5, 2024. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.
To trade on "Will Trump concede by Friday? ," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current probability for "Will Trump concede by Friday? " is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.
The resolution rules for "Will Trump concede by Friday? " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
Frequently Asked Questions