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Will Taylor Swift attend the Met Gala?

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Will Taylor Swift attend the Met Gala?

0% 確率
Polymarket
新規
0% 確率
Polymarket
新規
The 2026 Met Gala is scheduled for May 4, 2026. This year's theme is "Costume Art". This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift attends the 2026 Met Gala. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the event is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward "No" at 62% implied probability for Taylor Swift attending the May 4, 2026 Met Gala, anchored by her unbroken 10-year absence from the Metropolitan Museum of Art's red carpet since co-chairing in 2016 amid her platinum-banged Versace moment. Recent skips in 2024 and 2025 stemmed from verified scheduling clashes with Eras Tour rehearsals and travel alongside Travis Kelce, per reports from People and TMZ, with no official statements, promotional campaigns, or New York fittings buzz emerging in the past two weeks to signal a return. While fan speculation persists amid the "Fashion is Art" dress code, the wisdom of crowds favors continuity in her low-profile post-tour phase, though a last-minute appearance remains possible given Anna Wintour's selective guest list.

The 2026 Met Gala is scheduled for May 4, 2026. This year's theme is "Costume Art".

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift attends the 2026 Met Gala. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the event is canceled or postponed beyond May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the event is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$30
終了日
2026/05/04
マーケット開始日
Mar 23, 2026, 5:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The 2026 Met Gala is scheduled for May 4, 2026. This year's theme is "Costume Art". This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift attends the 2026 Met Gala. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the event is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The 2026 Met Gala is scheduled for May 4, 2026. This year's theme is "Costume Art". This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift attends the 2026 Met Gala. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the event is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward "No" at 62% implied probability for Taylor Swift attending the May 4, 2026 Met Gala, anchored by her unbroken 10-year absence from the Metropolitan Museum of Art's red carpet since co-chairing in 2016 amid her platinum-banged Versace moment. Recent skips in 2024 and 2025 stemmed from verified scheduling clashes with Eras Tour rehearsals and travel alongside Travis Kelce, per reports from People and TMZ, with no official statements, promotional campaigns, or New York fittings buzz emerging in the past two weeks to signal a return. While fan speculation persists amid the "Fashion is Art" dress code, the wisdom of crowds favors continuity in her low-profile post-tour phase, though a last-minute appearance remains possible given Anna Wintour's selective guest list.

The 2026 Met Gala is scheduled for May 4, 2026. This year's theme is "Costume Art".

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift attends the 2026 Met Gala. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the event is canceled or postponed beyond May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the event is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$30
終了日
2026/05/04
マーケット開始日
Mar 23, 2026, 5:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The 2026 Met Gala is scheduled for May 4, 2026. This year's theme is "Costume Art". This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift attends the 2026 Met Gala. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the event is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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よくある質問

「Will Taylor Swift attend the Met Gala?」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して40%です。例えば、「はい」が40¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を40%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Will Taylor Swift attend the Met Gala?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Mar 23, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

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「Will Taylor Swift attend the Met Gala?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して40%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を40%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

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