Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 86% implied probability for Ye (formerly Kanye West) facing another country’s entry block by June 30, driven by the absence of fresh developments since the UK Home Office denied his electronic travel authorization on April 7 over his history of antisemitic remarks, which prompted Wireless Festival’s cancellation. No confirmed international tour dates, public appearances abroad, or new provocative statements have surfaced in the past 30 days to trigger similar actions elsewhere, tempering expectations of rapid escalation despite his polarizing cultural profile. While celebrity travel restrictions remain unpredictable—hinging on government discretion and unannounced trips—traders see limited catalysts for additional bans before the deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/06/30
新規
新規
2026/06/30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is formally refused entry into the another country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of any country (excepting the United Kingdom) that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering it. Qualifying actions include refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter a qualifying country.
Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter a country including West voluntarily withdrawing from upcoming appearances, will not alone qualify.
A formal public announcement by a qualifying government, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a qualifying country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 86% implied probability for Ye (formerly Kanye West) facing another country’s entry block by June 30, driven by the absence of fresh developments since the UK Home Office denied his electronic travel authorization on April 7 over his history of antisemitic remarks, which prompted Wireless Festival’s cancellation. No confirmed international tour dates, public appearances abroad, or new provocative statements have surfaced in the past 30 days to trigger similar actions elsewhere, tempering expectations of rapid escalation despite his polarizing cultural profile. While celebrity travel restrictions remain unpredictable—hinging on government discretion and unannounced trips—traders see limited catalysts for additional bans before the deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is formally refused entry into the another country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of any country (excepting the United Kingdom) that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering it. Qualifying actions include refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter a qualifying country.
Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter a country including West voluntarily withdrawing from upcoming appearances, will not alone qualify.
A formal public announcement by a qualifying government, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a qualifying country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of any country (excepting the United Kingdom) that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering it. Qualifying actions include refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter a qualifying country.
Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter a country including West voluntarily withdrawing from upcoming appearances, will not alone qualify.
A formal public announcement by a qualifying government, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a qualifying country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Apr 7, 2026, 12:16 PM ET
音量
$4,696終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Apr 7, 2026, 12:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is formally refused entry into the another country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of any country (excepting the United Kingdom) that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering it. Qualifying actions include refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter a qualifying country.
Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter a country including West voluntarily withdrawing from upcoming appearances, will not alone qualify.
A formal public announcement by a qualifying government, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a qualifying country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 86% implied probability for Ye (formerly Kanye West) facing another country’s entry block by June 30, driven by the absence of fresh developments since the UK Home Office denied his electronic travel authorization on April 7 over his history of antisemitic remarks, which prompted Wireless Festival’s cancellation. No confirmed international tour dates, public appearances abroad, or new provocative statements have surfaced in the past 30 days to trigger similar actions elsewhere, tempering expectations of rapid escalation despite his polarizing cultural profile. While celebrity travel restrictions remain unpredictable—hinging on government discretion and unannounced trips—traders see limited catalysts for additional bans before the deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is formally refused entry into the another country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of any country (excepting the United Kingdom) that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering it. Qualifying actions include refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter a qualifying country.
Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter a country including West voluntarily withdrawing from upcoming appearances, will not alone qualify.
A formal public announcement by a qualifying government, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a qualifying country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of any country (excepting the United Kingdom) that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering it. Qualifying actions include refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter a qualifying country.
Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter a country including West voluntarily withdrawing from upcoming appearances, will not alone qualify.
A formal public announcement by a qualifying government, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a qualifying country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$4,696終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Apr 7, 2026, 12:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 86% implied probability for Ye (formerly Kanye West) facing another country’s entry block by June 30, driven by the absence of fresh developments since the UK Home Office denied his electronic travel authorization on April 7 over his history of antisemitic remarks, which prompted Wireless Festival’s cancellation. No confirmed international tour dates, public appearances abroad, or new provocative statements have surfaced in the past 30 days to trigger similar actions elsewhere, tempering expectations of rapid escalation despite his polarizing cultural profile. While celebrity travel restrictions remain unpredictable—hinging on government discretion and unannounced trips—traders see limited catalysts for additional bans before the deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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