Trader consensus favors 350k-400k equivalent album units at 46% implied probability for Olivia Rodrigo's third studio album *you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love*, driven by explosive Spotify pre-saves surpassing 3 million within 36 days of announcement and over 100k pure pre-sales via her U.S. store, with multiple variants sold out. The closely contested race with 300k-350k at 37% reflects uncertainty in streaming conversion from lead single "drop dead"—a Hot 100 frontrunner—and final pure sales tallies, building on her prior debuts around 300k units for *SOUR* and *GUTS*. Key swing factors include upcoming Hits Daily Double projections and late promotional pushes ahead of the June 12 release, amid high fan engagement boosting her back catalog.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Olivia Rodrigo 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' First Week Album Sales?
Olivia Rodrigo 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' First Week Album Sales?
350k-400k 46%
300k-350k 37%
400k-450k 36%
450k+ 13%
<200k
32%
200k-250k
9%
250k-300k
12%
300k-350k
37%
350k-400k
46%
400k-450k
36%
450k+
31%
350k-400k 46%
300k-350k 37%
400k-450k 36%
450k+ 13%
<200k
32%
200k-250k
9%
250k-300k
12%
300k-350k
37%
350k-400k
46%
400k-450k
36%
450k+
31%
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Olivia Rodrigo's album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' has not been released by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
マーケット開始日: Apr 7, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Olivia Rodrigo's album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' has not been released by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 350k-400k equivalent album units at 46% implied probability for Olivia Rodrigo's third studio album *you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love*, driven by explosive Spotify pre-saves surpassing 3 million within 36 days of announcement and over 100k pure pre-sales via her U.S. store, with multiple variants sold out. The closely contested race with 300k-350k at 37% reflects uncertainty in streaming conversion from lead single "drop dead"—a Hot 100 frontrunner—and final pure sales tallies, building on her prior debuts around 300k units for *SOUR* and *GUTS*. Key swing factors include upcoming Hits Daily Double projections and late promotional pushes ahead of the June 12 release, amid high fan engagement boosting her back catalog.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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