Preliminary FlightAware data reports approximately 5,400 U.S. flights delayed 15+ minutes on arrival within, into, or out of the country on March 29, well below the 6,000 threshold and driving trader consensus to price <6,000 at virtually 100%. This reflects a relatively smooth day amid high TSA checkpoint volumes of 2.76 million passengers, with disruptions limited to LaGuardia arrival delays, South Florida storms, and minor western constraints—far milder than March 27's 3,000+ delays from weather and FAA issues. Final Bureau of Transportation Statistics or FAA confirmation expected soon could solidify resolution, though unlikely upward revisions from preliminary tallies pose the only realistic challenge to this outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日6,500-7,000 <1%
$22,385 Vol.
$22,385 Vol.
2026/03/27
6,500-7,000
<1%
6,500-7,000 <1%
$22,385 Vol.
$22,385 Vol.
2026/03/27
6,500-7,000
$1,574 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Preliminary FlightAware data reports approximately 5,400 U.S. flights delayed 15+ minutes on arrival within, into, or out of the country on March 29, well below the 6,000 threshold and driving trader consensus to price <6,000 at virtually 100%. This reflects a relatively smooth day amid high TSA checkpoint volumes of 2.76 million passengers, with disruptions limited to LaGuardia arrival delays, South Florida storms, and minor western constraints—far milder than March 27's 3,000+ delays from weather and FAA issues. Final Bureau of Transportation Statistics or FAA confirmation expected soon could solidify resolution, though unlikely upward revisions from preliminary tallies pose the only realistic challenge to this outcome.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
マーケット開始日： Mar 27, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
音量
$22,385終了日
2026/03/29マーケット開始日
Mar 27, 2026, 5:42 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てウィンドウ
最終
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Preliminary FlightAware data reports approximately 5,400 U.S. flights delayed 15+ minutes on arrival within, into, or out of the country on March 29, well below the 6,000 threshold and driving trader consensus to price <6,000 at virtually 100%. This reflects a relatively smooth day amid high TSA checkpoint volumes of 2.76 million passengers, with disruptions limited to LaGuardia arrival delays, South Florida storms, and minor western constraints—far milder than March 27's 3,000+ delays from weather and FAA issues. Final Bureau of Transportation Statistics or FAA confirmation expected soon could solidify resolution, though unlikely upward revisions from preliminary tallies pose the only realistic challenge to this outcome.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
音量
$22,385終了日
2026/03/29マーケット開始日
Mar 27, 2026, 5:42 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てウィンドウ
最終
Preliminary FlightAware data reports approximately 5,400 U.S. flights delayed 15+ minutes on arrival within, into, or out of the country on March 29, well below the 6,000 threshold and driving trader consensus to price <6,000 at virtually 100%. This reflects a relatively smooth day amid high TSA checkpoint volumes of 2.76 million passengers, with disruptions limited to LaGuardia arrival delays, South Florida storms, and minor western constraints—far milder than March 27's 3,000+ delays from weather and FAA issues. Final Bureau of Transportation Statistics or FAA confirmation expected soon could solidify resolution, though unlikely upward revisions from preliminary tallies pose the only realistic challenge to this outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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