FlightAware's preliminary count for April 11 US flight delays stands near 3,900 as of early April 12, but trader consensus clusters tightly around 4,000–5,000 due to historical patterns where totals accrue 10–20% overnight from late flights and revised arrival times at hubs like SFO (367 delays amid FAA ground delay programs averaging 44–160 minutes), ORD, and MIA. Persistent high winds in Northeast and Florida airports, plus thunderstorms in South Texas, mirror FAA's April 10 warnings, elevating delays above seasonal baselines amid high TSA volumes exceeding 2.5 million passengers daily. Separation could emerge from noon ET FlightAware finalization, with heavier SFO/DFW ripple effects pushing toward 5,000+ or calmer conditions capping below 4,500.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Number of US Flights Delayed April 11?
Number of US Flights Delayed April 11?
4,000-4,500 100.0%
<4,000 <1%
4,500-5,000 <1%
5,000-5,500 <1%
$3,525 Vol.
$3,525 Vol.
2026/04/11
<4,000
No
4,000-4,500
Yes
4,500-5,000
No
5,000-5,500
No
5,500-6,000
No
6,000-6,500
No
6,500-7,000
No
>7,000
No
4,000-4,500 100.0%
<4,000 <1%
4,500-5,000 <1%
5,000-5,500 <1%
$3,525 Vol.
$3,525 Vol.
2026/04/11
<4,000
$457 Vol.
No
4,000-4,500
$955 Vol.
Yes
4,500-5,000
$635 Vol.
No
5,000-5,500
$340 Vol.
No
5,500-6,000
$449 Vol.
No
6,000-6,500
$230 Vol.
No
6,500-7,000
$230 Vol.
No
>7,000
$229 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 11, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.FlightAware's preliminary count for April 11 US flight delays stands near 3,900 as of early April 12, but trader consensus clusters tightly around 4,000–5,000 due to historical patterns where totals accrue 10–20% overnight from late flights and revised arrival times at hubs like SFO (367 delays amid FAA ground delay programs averaging 44–160 minutes), ORD, and MIA. Persistent high winds in Northeast and Florida airports, plus thunderstorms in South Texas, mirror FAA's April 10 warnings, elevating delays above seasonal baselines amid high TSA volumes exceeding 2.5 million passengers daily. Separation could emerge from noon ET FlightAware finalization, with heavier SFO/DFW ripple effects pushing toward 5,000+ or calmer conditions capping below 4,500.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 11, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
マーケット開始日： Apr 8, 2026, 5:58 PM ET
音量
$3,525終了日
2026/04/11マーケット開始日
Apr 8, 2026, 5:58 PM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 11, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.FlightAware's preliminary count for April 11 US flight delays stands near 3,900 as of early April 12, but trader consensus clusters tightly around 4,000–5,000 due to historical patterns where totals accrue 10–20% overnight from late flights and revised arrival times at hubs like SFO (367 delays amid FAA ground delay programs averaging 44–160 minutes), ORD, and MIA. Persistent high winds in Northeast and Florida airports, plus thunderstorms in South Texas, mirror FAA's April 10 warnings, elevating delays above seasonal baselines amid high TSA volumes exceeding 2.5 million passengers daily. Separation could emerge from noon ET FlightAware finalization, with heavier SFO/DFW ripple effects pushing toward 5,000+ or calmer conditions capping below 4,500.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 11, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
音量
$3,525終了日
2026/04/11マーケット開始日
Apr 8, 2026, 5:58 PM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
FlightAware's preliminary count for April 11 US flight delays stands near 3,900 as of early April 12, but trader consensus clusters tightly around 4,000–5,000 due to historical patterns where totals accrue 10–20% overnight from late flights and revised arrival times at hubs like SFO (367 delays amid FAA ground delay programs averaging 44–160 minutes), ORD, and MIA. Persistent high winds in Northeast and Florida airports, plus thunderstorms in South Texas, mirror FAA's April 10 warnings, elevating delays above seasonal baselines amid high TSA volumes exceeding 2.5 million passengers daily. Separation could emerge from noon ET FlightAware finalization, with heavier SFO/DFW ripple effects pushing toward 5,000+ or calmer conditions capping below 4,500.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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