Trader consensus has locked in 5,000-5,500 delayed US flights for April 10 at virtually 100% implied probability, driven by FlightAware's official tally of 5,080 delays within, into, or out of the United States—released overnight and aligning precisely with this bin. The FAA's daily air traffic report had flagged potential disruptions from high winds at key hubs including Boston Logan (BOS), New York-area airports (EWR, JFK, LGA), Orlando (MCO), Denver (DEN), and Las Vegas (LAS), but actual impacts stayed moderate amid lighter-than-expected weather effects compared to earlier April storms topping 5,600 delays. This commanding position reflects finalized tracking data, though minor revisions from DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports or FAA OPSNET could theoretically shift the count if late-filing discrepancies emerge.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5,000-5,500 100.0%
<4,000 <1%
4,000-4,500 <1%
4,500-5,000 <1%
$14,161 Vol.
$14,161 Vol.
2026/04/10
<4,000
No
4,000-4,500
No
4,500-5,000
No
5,000-5,500
Yes
5,500-6,000
No
6,000-6,500
No
6,500-7,000
No
>7,000
No
5,000-5,500 100.0%
<4,000 <1%
4,000-4,500 <1%
4,500-5,000 <1%
$14,161 Vol.
$14,161 Vol.
2026/04/10
<4,000
$9,347 Vol.
No
4,000-4,500
$1,888 Vol.
No
4,500-5,000
$450 Vol.
No
5,000-5,500
$10 Vol.
Yes
5,500-6,000
$1,228 Vol.
No
6,000-6,500
$351 Vol.
No
6,500-7,000
$612 Vol.
No
>7,000
$276 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 10, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus has locked in 5,000-5,500 delayed US flights for April 10 at virtually 100% implied probability, driven by FlightAware's official tally of 5,080 delays within, into, or out of the United States—released overnight and aligning precisely with this bin. The FAA's daily air traffic report had flagged potential disruptions from high winds at key hubs including Boston Logan (BOS), New York-area airports (EWR, JFK, LGA), Orlando (MCO), Denver (DEN), and Las Vegas (LAS), but actual impacts stayed moderate amid lighter-than-expected weather effects compared to earlier April storms topping 5,600 delays. This commanding position reflects finalized tracking data, though minor revisions from DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports or FAA OPSNET could theoretically shift the count if late-filing discrepancies emerge.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 10, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
マーケット開始日： Apr 8, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
音量
$14,161終了日
2026/04/10マーケット開始日
Apr 8, 2026, 5:55 PM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 10, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus has locked in 5,000-5,500 delayed US flights for April 10 at virtually 100% implied probability, driven by FlightAware's official tally of 5,080 delays within, into, or out of the United States—released overnight and aligning precisely with this bin. The FAA's daily air traffic report had flagged potential disruptions from high winds at key hubs including Boston Logan (BOS), New York-area airports (EWR, JFK, LGA), Orlando (MCO), Denver (DEN), and Las Vegas (LAS), but actual impacts stayed moderate amid lighter-than-expected weather effects compared to earlier April storms topping 5,600 delays. This commanding position reflects finalized tracking data, though minor revisions from DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports or FAA OPSNET could theoretically shift the count if late-filing discrepancies emerge.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 10, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
音量
$14,161終了日
2026/04/10マーケット開始日
Apr 8, 2026, 5:55 PM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Trader consensus has locked in 5,000-5,500 delayed US flights for April 10 at virtually 100% implied probability, driven by FlightAware's official tally of 5,080 delays within, into, or out of the United States—released overnight and aligning precisely with this bin. The FAA's daily air traffic report had flagged potential disruptions from high winds at key hubs including Boston Logan (BOS), New York-area airports (EWR, JFK, LGA), Orlando (MCO), Denver (DEN), and Las Vegas (LAS), but actual impacts stayed moderate amid lighter-than-expected weather effects compared to earlier April storms topping 5,600 delays. This commanding position reflects finalized tracking data, though minor revisions from DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports or FAA OPSNET could theoretically shift the count if late-filing discrepancies emerge.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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