Trader sentiment on Mexico's Q1 2026 GDP growth remains tightly contested, with market-implied odds favoring 0.5-1.0% at 41.5% ahead of 0.0-0.5% (37.8%) and contraction (<0.0%, 31.3%), driven by mixed monthly indicators. January's IGAE plunged 0.9% month-over-month, signaling a weak start amid cooling U.S. demand spillover and faltering manufacturing, while March's Indicador Oportuno de la Actividad Económica showed stagnation at 0% m/m and just 0.5% y/y. Full-year consensus from Banxico and IMF at 1.6% implies subdued quarterly prints with potential back-loading via services resilience. Key swing factor: INEGI's timely Q1 GDP estimate on April 30, alongside final IGAE revisions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日0.0～0.5％ 38.7%
1.0～1.5％ 8%
1.5～2.0％ 2.6%
>2.5％ 1.8%
新規
新規
2026/04/30
0.0%未満
35%
0.0～0.5％
39%
0.5〜1.0%
45%
1.0～1.5％
8%
1.5～2.0％
3%
2.0～2.5%
8%
>2.5％
2%
0.0～0.5％ 38.7%
1.0～1.5％ 8%
1.5～2.0％ 2.6%
>2.5％ 1.8%
新規
新規
2026/04/30
0.0%未満
$432 Vol.
35%
0.0～0.5％
$348 Vol.
39%
0.5〜1.0%
$567 Vol.
45%
1.0～1.5％
$731 Vol.
8%
1.5～2.0％
$408 Vol.
3%
2.0～2.5%
$140 Vol.
8%
>2.5％
$158 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for release on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment on Mexico's Q1 2026 GDP growth remains tightly contested, with market-implied odds favoring 0.5-1.0% at 41.5% ahead of 0.0-0.5% (37.8%) and contraction (<0.0%, 31.3%), driven by mixed monthly indicators. January's IGAE plunged 0.9% month-over-month, signaling a weak start amid cooling U.S. demand spillover and faltering manufacturing, while March's Indicador Oportuno de la Actividad Económica showed stagnation at 0% m/m and just 0.5% y/y. Full-year consensus from Banxico and IMF at 1.6% implies subdued quarterly prints with potential back-loading via services resilience. Key swing factor: INEGI's timely Q1 GDP estimate on April 30, alongside final IGAE revisions.
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for release on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Jan 30, 2026, 6:57 PM ET
音量
$2,783終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for release on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment on Mexico's Q1 2026 GDP growth remains tightly contested, with market-implied odds favoring 0.5-1.0% at 41.5% ahead of 0.0-0.5% (37.8%) and contraction (<0.0%, 31.3%), driven by mixed monthly indicators. January's IGAE plunged 0.9% month-over-month, signaling a weak start amid cooling U.S. demand spillover and faltering manufacturing, while March's Indicador Oportuno de la Actividad Económica showed stagnation at 0% m/m and just 0.5% y/y. Full-year consensus from Banxico and IMF at 1.6% implies subdued quarterly prints with potential back-loading via services resilience. Key swing factor: INEGI's timely Q1 GDP estimate on April 30, alongside final IGAE revisions.
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for release on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$2,783終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment on Mexico's Q1 2026 GDP growth remains tightly contested, with market-implied odds favoring 0.5-1.0% at 41.5% ahead of 0.0-0.5% (37.8%) and contraction (<0.0%, 31.3%), driven by mixed monthly indicators. January's IGAE plunged 0.9% month-over-month, signaling a weak start amid cooling U.S. demand spillover and faltering manufacturing, while March's Indicador Oportuno de la Actividad Económica showed stagnation at 0% m/m and just 0.5% y/y. Full-year consensus from Banxico and IMF at 1.6% implies subdued quarterly prints with potential back-loading via services resilience. Key swing factor: INEGI's timely Q1 GDP estimate on April 30, alongside final IGAE revisions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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