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政治·メキシコ

クラウディア・シャインバウムがメキシコ大統領に就任？

Market icon
政治·メキシコ

クラウディア・シャインバウムがメキシコ大統領に就任？

$166,173 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$166,173 Vol.

Polymarket

2026年6月30日

$120,975 Vol.

4%

2026年12月31日

$1,552 Vol.

23%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Claudia Sheinbaum ceases to be President of Mexico for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Claudia Sheinbaum's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Claudia Sheinbaum and the government of Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Claudia Sheinbaum maintains strong institutional support from Morena's congressional supermajorities, making impeachment or forced removal under Mexico's constitution unlikely despite recent legislative setbacks that explain modest trader concerns. Her March 12 electoral reform was rejected by the lower house, with allies like the PT party withdrawing support, followed by a Senate gutting of her "Plan B" alternative last week—her first major defeats after passing judicial reforms. Approval ratings dipped to a term low of 56% in late February amid persistent cartel violence and U.S. tensions, where she rejected President Trump's repeated calls for military intervention against cartels in January-March talks. Upcoming Senate votes on reforms and security announcements could sway stability, but no resignation signals have emerged in her 18-month term ending 2030.

President Claudia Sheinbaum maintains strong institutional support from Morena's congressional supermajorities, making impeachment or forced removal under Mexico's constitution unlikely despite recent legislative setbacks that explain modest trader concerns. Her March 12 electoral reform was rejected by the lower house, with allies like the PT party withdrawing support, followed by a Senate gutting of her "Plan B" alternative last week—her first major defeats after passing judicial reforms. Approval ratings dipped to a term low of 56% in late February amid persistent cartel violence and U.S. tensions, where she rejected President Trump's repeated calls for military intervention against cartels in January-March talks. Upcoming Senate votes on reforms and security announcements could sway stability, but no resignation signals have emerged in her 18-month term ending 2030.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Claudia Sheinbaum ceases to be President of Mexico for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Claudia Sheinbaum's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Claudia Sheinbaum and the government of Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Claudia Sheinbaum maintains strong institutional support from Morena's congressional supermajorities, making impeachment or forced removal under Mexico's constitution unlikely despite recent legislative setbacks that explain modest trader concerns. Her March 12 electoral reform was rejected by the lower house, with allies like the PT party withdrawing support, followed by a Senate gutting of her "Plan B" alternative last week—her first major defeats after passing judicial reforms. Approval ratings dipped to a term low of 56% in late February amid persistent cartel violence and U.S. tensions, where she rejected President Trump's repeated calls for military intervention against cartels in January-March talks. Upcoming Senate votes on reforms and security announcements could sway stability, but no resignation signals have emerged in her 18-month term ending 2030.

President Claudia Sheinbaum maintains strong institutional support from Morena's congressional supermajorities, making impeachment or forced removal under Mexico's constitution unlikely despite recent legislative setbacks that explain modest trader concerns. Her March 12 electoral reform was rejected by the lower house, with allies like the PT party withdrawing support, followed by a Senate gutting of her "Plan B" alternative last week—her first major defeats after passing judicial reforms. Approval ratings dipped to a term low of 56% in late February amid persistent cartel violence and U.S. tensions, where she rejected President Trump's repeated calls for military intervention against cartels in January-March talks. Upcoming Senate votes on reforms and security announcements could sway stability, but no resignation signals have emerged in her 18-month term ending 2030.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「クラウディア・シャインバウムがメキシコ大統領に就任？」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「2026年12月31日」で23%、次いで「2026年6月30日」が4%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、23¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に23%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「クラウディア・シャインバウムがメキシコ大統領に就任？」は$166.2Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Oct 27, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「クラウディア・シャインバウムがメキシコ大統領に就任？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「クラウディア・シャインバウムがメキシコ大統領に就任？」の現在のフロントランナーは「2026年12月31日」で23%であり、市場がこの結果に23%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「2026年6月30日」で4%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

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