Traders' near-unanimous 95.2% implied probability on "No" for a World Cup game being relocated from Mexico stems from FIFA's established pattern of addressing homophobic "puto" chants with fines, partial stadium closures, and fan bans rather than moving matches, as seen in recent CONCACAF World Cup qualifiers like Mexico's home fixtures against Canada and others in 2024. No fresh developments in the past week—such as security incidents, weather threats, or official announcements—have prompted relocation discussions for upcoming qualifiers or the 2026 FIFA World Cup hosted across USA, Canada, and Mexico, where Azteca Stadium remains confirmed for key games. While rare, a major fan violence outbreak, government instability, or unprecedented FIFA directive could still prompt a shift, though precedent favors containment measures.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
$113,129 Vol.
$113,129 Vol.
Jun 10, 2026
はい
$113,129 Vol.
$113,129 Vol.
Jun 10, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that any 2026 FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled to be held in Mexico will be relocated to a location outside of Mexico by June 10, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement will immediately resolve the market to "Yes" regardless of whether the relocation is later revoked.
The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders' near-unanimous 95.2% implied probability on "No" for a World Cup game being relocated from Mexico stems from FIFA's established pattern of addressing homophobic "puto" chants with fines, partial stadium closures, and fan bans rather than moving matches, as seen in recent CONCACAF World Cup qualifiers like Mexico's home fixtures against Canada and others in 2024. No fresh developments in the past week—such as security incidents, weather threats, or official announcements—have prompted relocation discussions for upcoming qualifiers or the 2026 FIFA World Cup hosted across USA, Canada, and Mexico, where Azteca Stadium remains confirmed for key games. While rare, a major fan violence outbreak, government instability, or unprecedented FIFA directive could still prompt a shift, though precedent favors containment measures.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that any 2026 FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled to be held in Mexico will be relocated to a location outside of Mexico by June 10, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement will immediately resolve the market to "Yes" regardless of whether the relocation is later revoked.
The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying announcement will immediately resolve the market to "Yes" regardless of whether the relocation is later revoked.
The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Feb 22, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
音量
$113,129終了日
Jun 10, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 22, 2026, 7:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that any 2026 FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled to be held in Mexico will be relocated to a location outside of Mexico by June 10, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement will immediately resolve the market to "Yes" regardless of whether the relocation is later revoked.
The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders' near-unanimous 95.2% implied probability on "No" for a World Cup game being relocated from Mexico stems from FIFA's established pattern of addressing homophobic "puto" chants with fines, partial stadium closures, and fan bans rather than moving matches, as seen in recent CONCACAF World Cup qualifiers like Mexico's home fixtures against Canada and others in 2024. No fresh developments in the past week—such as security incidents, weather threats, or official announcements—have prompted relocation discussions for upcoming qualifiers or the 2026 FIFA World Cup hosted across USA, Canada, and Mexico, where Azteca Stadium remains confirmed for key games. While rare, a major fan violence outbreak, government instability, or unprecedented FIFA directive could still prompt a shift, though precedent favors containment measures.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that any 2026 FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled to be held in Mexico will be relocated to a location outside of Mexico by June 10, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement will immediately resolve the market to "Yes" regardless of whether the relocation is later revoked.
The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying announcement will immediately resolve the market to "Yes" regardless of whether the relocation is later revoked.
The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$113,129終了日
Jun 10, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 22, 2026, 7:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders' near-unanimous 95.2% implied probability on "No" for a World Cup game being relocated from Mexico stems from FIFA's established pattern of addressing homophobic "puto" chants with fines, partial stadium closures, and fan bans rather than moving matches, as seen in recent CONCACAF World Cup qualifiers like Mexico's home fixtures against Canada and others in 2024. No fresh developments in the past week—such as security incidents, weather threats, or official announcements—have prompted relocation discussions for upcoming qualifiers or the 2026 FIFA World Cup hosted across USA, Canada, and Mexico, where Azteca Stadium remains confirmed for key games. While rare, a major fan violence outbreak, government instability, or unprecedented FIFA directive could still prompt a shift, though precedent favors containment measures.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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