Market icon

2026年NCAAトーナメント優勝者

Market icon

2026年NCAAトーナメント優勝者

ミシガン 35%

アリゾナ 34.1%

イリノイ 17.1%

コネチカット 13.6%

Polymarket

$23,651,662 Vol.

ミシガン 35%

アリゾナ 34.1%

イリノイ 17.1%

コネチカット 13.6%

Polymarket

$23,651,662 Vol.

ミシガン

$1,263,182 Vol.

35%

アリゾナ

$1,391,712 Vol.

34%

イリノイ

$1,527,697 Vol.

17%

コネチカット

$2,754,688 Vol.

14%

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.Michigan and Arizona, the lone remaining No. 1 seeds, head trader consensus in the 2026 NCAA Tournament winner market with tightly bunched implied probabilities around 34%, reflecting their dominant paths to the Final Four: Michigan's 35-3 Wolverines routed Alabama and Tennessee in the Sweet 16 and Elite Eight for their first Final Four since 2018 under coach Dusty May, while Arizona's 36-2 Wildcats, Big 12 tournament champions, powered through as the West Region top seed. No. 3 Illinois (28-8, first Final Four since 2005) edged Iowa 71-59 in the South Regional Elite Eight, and No. 2 UConn stunned top seed Duke with a buzzer-beating 3-pointer 73-72, fueling a competitive four-team bracket ahead of Saturday's semifinals pitting Michigan vs. Arizona and Illinois vs. UConn.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.

If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
音量
$23,651,662
終了日
2026/04/04
マーケット開始日
Oct 31, 2025, 7:31 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.Michigan and Arizona, the lone remaining No. 1 seeds, head trader consensus in the 2026 NCAA Tournament winner market with tightly bunched implied probabilities around 34%, reflecting their dominant paths to the Final Four: Michigan's 35-3 Wolverines routed Alabama and Tennessee in the Sweet 16 and Elite Eight for their first Final Four since 2018 under coach Dusty May, while Arizona's 36-2 Wildcats, Big 12 tournament champions, powered through as the West Region top seed. No. 3 Illinois (28-8, first Final Four since 2005) edged Iowa 71-59 in the South Regional Elite Eight, and No. 2 UConn stunned top seed Duke with a buzzer-beating 3-pointer 73-72, fueling a competitive four-team bracket ahead of Saturday's semifinals pitting Michigan vs. Arizona and Illinois vs. UConn.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.

If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
音量
$23,651,662
終了日
2026/04/04
マーケット開始日
Oct 31, 2025, 7:31 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「2026年NCAAトーナメント優勝者」はPolymarket上の70+個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ミシガン」で35%、次いで「アリゾナ」が34%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、35¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に35%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「2026年NCAAトーナメント優勝者」は$23.7 millionの総取引量を生み出しています(Oct 31, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「2026年NCAAトーナメント優勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている70+個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「2026年NCAAトーナメント優勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「ミシガン」で35%であり、市場がこの結果に35%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「アリゾナ」で34%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「2026年NCAAトーナメント優勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。