Market icon

カシュ・パテルは... ?

Market icon

カシュ・パテルは... ?

$228,858 Vol.

2026/06/30
Polymarket

$228,858 Vol.

Polymarket

April 30

$106,081 Vol.

12%

6月30日

$50,912 Vol.

32%

12月31日

$29,274 Vol.

61%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.FBI Director Kash Patel, confirmed in February 2025, continues serving amid Trump administration shakeups, including President Trump's abrupt April 3 dismissal of Attorney General Pam Bondi, which sparked immediate rumors of Patel's ouster amplified by figures like Alex Jones. No official removal has materialized, with Patel recently directing federal probes into violent assaults on journalists outside ICE facilities and announcing rises in arrests of sexual predators and human traffickers. A March 27 Iran-linked hack of his personal email, alongside lawsuits from fired counterintelligence agents alleging retaliation, heightens scrutiny. Trader consensus prices low near-term removal risk before April 30 but rises for later dates, reflecting uncertainty over cabinet stability without scheduled hearings or votes; markets resolve on Trump administration announcements of resignation or removal.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$228,858
マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 9:52 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.FBI Director Kash Patel, confirmed in February 2025, continues serving amid Trump administration shakeups, including President Trump's abrupt April 3 dismissal of Attorney General Pam Bondi, which sparked immediate rumors of Patel's ouster amplified by figures like Alex Jones. No official removal has materialized, with Patel recently directing federal probes into violent assaults on journalists outside ICE facilities and announcing rises in arrests of sexual predators and human traffickers. A March 27 Iran-linked hack of his personal email, alongside lawsuits from fired counterintelligence agents alleging retaliation, heightens scrutiny. Trader consensus prices low near-term removal risk before April 30 but rises for later dates, reflecting uncertainty over cabinet stability without scheduled hearings or votes; markets resolve on Trump administration announcements of resignation or removal.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$228,858
マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 9:52 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「カシュ・パテルは... ?」はPolymarket上の4個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「12月31日」で61%、次いで「6月30日」が32%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、61¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に61%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「カシュ・パテルは... ?」は$228.9Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Feb 23, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「カシュ・パテルは... ?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている4個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「カシュ・パテルは... ?」の現在のフロントランナーは「12月31日」で61%であり、市場がこの結果に61%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「6月30日」で32%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「カシュ・パテルは... ?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。