Hungary's parliamentary election on April 12 will decide which parties secure seats in the 199-seat National Assembly via the mixed-member system, needing 5% of national list votes for proportional representation or single-member district wins. Recent polls show Péter Magyar's centre-right Tisza Party leading Viktor Orbán's incumbent Fidesz-KDNP alliance—49% to 39% in POLITICO aggregates and widening gaps in opposition-leaning surveys like Publicus and 21 Kutatóközpont—fueled by Tisza's anti-corruption appeal, strong youth support over 60% under-30s, and opposition withdrawals consolidating votes. Far-right Mi Hazánk hovers near the threshold at 5%, while Democratic Coalition trails at 3-6%; pollster biases, Fidesz-favored diaspora ballots, and district races add uncertainty amid interference claims and final campaigning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$79,674 Vol.

Mi Hazánk
77%

DK
4%

MKKP
3%
$79,674 Vol.

Mi Hazánk
77%

DK
4%

MKKP
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
マーケット開始日: Mar 23, 2026, 11:51 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Hungary's parliamentary election on April 12 will decide which parties secure seats in the 199-seat National Assembly via the mixed-member system, needing 5% of national list votes for proportional representation or single-member district wins. Recent polls show Péter Magyar's centre-right Tisza Party leading Viktor Orbán's incumbent Fidesz-KDNP alliance—49% to 39% in POLITICO aggregates and widening gaps in opposition-leaning surveys like Publicus and 21 Kutatóközpont—fueled by Tisza's anti-corruption appeal, strong youth support over 60% under-30s, and opposition withdrawals consolidating votes. Far-right Mi Hazánk hovers near the threshold at 5%, while Democratic Coalition trails at 3-6%; pollster biases, Fidesz-favored diaspora ballots, and district races add uncertainty amid interference claims and final campaigning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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