Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high of 19°C or higher in Wuhan on March 24, driven by ensemble weather models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and GFS projecting daytime peaks of 22-25°C under a dominant high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and mild southerly flows. Official observations from nearby stations confirm recent spring-like warming, with March historical maxima averaging 16-18°C but trending upward amid broader East Asian heat anomalies. This positioning aligns with low forecast uncertainty at short lead times, as verified by China Meteorological Administration updates. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen cold front intrusion or localized measurement discrepancies at Hankou Airport, though probabilities remain below 1% per model spreads.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日3月24日の武漢の最高気温は?
3月24日の武漢の最高気温は?
19℃以上 100.0%
9℃以下 <1%
10℃ <1%
11℃ <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
9℃以下
いいえ
10℃
いいえ
11℃
いいえ
12°C
いいえ
13℃
いいえ
14℃
いいえ
15°C
いいえ
16℃
いいえ
17°C
いいえ
18℃
いいえ
19℃以上
はい
19℃以上 100.0%
9℃以下 <1%
10℃ <1%
11℃ <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
9℃以下
いいえ
10℃
いいえ
11℃
いいえ
12°C
いいえ
13℃
いいえ
14℃
いいえ
15°C
いいえ
16℃
いいえ
17°C
いいえ
18℃
いいえ
19℃以上
はい
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 19, 2026, 7:05 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high of 19°C or higher in Wuhan on March 24, driven by ensemble weather models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and GFS projecting daytime peaks of 22-25°C under a dominant high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and mild southerly flows. Official observations from nearby stations confirm recent spring-like warming, with March historical maxima averaging 16-18°C but trending upward amid broader East Asian heat anomalies. This positioning aligns with low forecast uncertainty at short lead times, as verified by China Meteorological Administration updates. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen cold front intrusion or localized measurement discrepancies at Hankou Airport, though probabilities remain below 1% per model spreads.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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