MetService's latest forecast pins Wellington's highest temperature on March 24 at 21°C, with fine spells and light winds, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability. Ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS align closely, showing daytime highs stabilizing around 21°C amid a cool southerly flow and post-frontal clearing, consistent with March climatology where averages hover 19-22°C but rarely exceed 23°C this late in summer. Historical data supports this, as only 5% of similar setups have busted higher. Challenges could arise from an unforeseen northerly wind shift injecting warmer air, though low-pressure dominance makes this improbable per current upper-air analyses. Traders eye tomorrow's 1200 UTC update for confirmation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日3月24日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
3月24日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
21°C 100.0%
13°C以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15℃ <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Mar 24, 2026
13°C以下
いいえ
14°C
いいえ
15℃
いいえ
16℃
いいえ
17°C
いいえ
18°C
いいえ
19°C
いいえ
20°C
いいえ
21°C
はい
22°C
いいえ
23°C以上
いいえ
21°C 100.0%
13°C以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15℃ <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Mar 24, 2026
13°C以下
$0 Vol.
いいえ
14°C
$0 Vol.
いいえ
15℃
$0 Vol.
いいえ
16℃
$0 Vol.
いいえ
17°C
$0 Vol.
いいえ
18°C
$0 Vol.
いいえ
19°C
$0 Vol.
いいえ
20°C
$0 Vol.
いいえ
21°C
$0 Vol.
はい
22°C
$0 Vol.
いいえ
23°C以上
$0 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast pins Wellington's highest temperature on March 24 at 21°C, with fine spells and light winds, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability. Ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS align closely, showing daytime highs stabilizing around 21°C amid a cool southerly flow and post-frontal clearing, consistent with March climatology where averages hover 19-22°C but rarely exceed 23°C this late in summer. Historical data supports this, as only 5% of similar setups have busted higher. Challenges could arise from an unforeseen northerly wind shift injecting warmer air, though low-pressure dominance makes this improbable per current upper-air analyses. Traders eye tomorrow's 1200 UTC update for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
Mar 24, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast pins Wellington's highest temperature on March 24 at 21°C, with fine spells and light winds, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability. Ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS align closely, showing daytime highs stabilizing around 21°C amid a cool southerly flow and post-frontal clearing, consistent with March climatology where averages hover 19-22°C but rarely exceed 23°C this late in summer. Historical data supports this, as only 5% of similar setups have busted higher. Challenges could arise from an unforeseen northerly wind shift injecting warmer air, though low-pressure dominance makes this improbable per current upper-air analyses. Traders eye tomorrow's 1200 UTC update for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$0終了日
Mar 24, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
MetService's latest forecast pins Wellington's highest temperature on March 24 at 21°C, with fine spells and light winds, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability. Ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS align closely, showing daytime highs stabilizing around 21°C amid a cool southerly flow and post-frontal clearing, consistent with March climatology where averages hover 19-22°C but rarely exceed 23°C this late in summer. Historical data supports this, as only 5% of similar setups have busted higher. Challenges could arise from an unforeseen northerly wind shift injecting warmer air, though low-pressure dominance makes this improbable per current upper-air analyses. Traders eye tomorrow's 1200 UTC update for confirmation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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