Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 11°C (40%) for London on March 29, reflecting the latest Met Office long-range forecast ensemble, which projects mild spring conditions under a high-pressure ridge drawing warmer Atlantic air. Recent GFS and ECMWF model runs over the past 48 hours show convergence around 10-12°C maxima at Heathrow, London's official measurement site, up from cooler outlooks a week ago amid a shift to zonal jet stream flow reducing cold northerly incursions. Climatological averages for late March hover near 11°C, with low odds for extremes (e.g., 16°C+ at 0.3%) due to limited solar heating and typical frontal systems. Uncertainty persists from model spread; watch daily updates from the UK Met Office for refinements ahead of resolution based on verified observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日3月29日のロンドンの最高気温は?
3月29日のロンドンの最高気温は?
11°C 39%
10℃ 23%
12℃ 21%
13℃ 7%
$24,973 Vol.
$24,973 Vol.
6℃以下
<1%
7℃
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
7%
10℃
23%
11°C
39%
12℃
21%
13℃
7%
14°C
2%
15°C
<1%
16℃以上
<1%
11°C 39%
10℃ 23%
12℃ 21%
13℃ 7%
$24,973 Vol.
$24,973 Vol.
6℃以下
<1%
7℃
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
7%
10℃
23%
11°C
39%
12℃
21%
13℃
7%
14°C
2%
15°C
<1%
16℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 25, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 11°C (40%) for London on March 29, reflecting the latest Met Office long-range forecast ensemble, which projects mild spring conditions under a high-pressure ridge drawing warmer Atlantic air. Recent GFS and ECMWF model runs over the past 48 hours show convergence around 10-12°C maxima at Heathrow, London's official measurement site, up from cooler outlooks a week ago amid a shift to zonal jet stream flow reducing cold northerly incursions. Climatological averages for late March hover near 11°C, with low odds for extremes (e.g., 16°C+ at 0.3%) due to limited solar heating and typical frontal systems. Uncertainty persists from model spread; watch daily updates from the UK Met Office for refinements ahead of resolution based on verified observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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