The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's near-lock status at 98.9% trader consensus stems from blockbuster tracking projections of $175–180 million domestic opening over its five-day April 1 debut, easily outpacing rivals like the Michael Jackson biopic's forecasted $80–90 million start on April 24. Building on the 2023 Super Mario Bros. Movie's $1.36 billion worldwide haul and family-friendly Nintendo IP appeal, presales and global buzz signal sustained legs through May 31, bolstered by minimal family competition. Realistic upsets would require disastrous reviews, poor word-of-mouth eroding multiverse holdover audiences, or an unprecedented Michael overperformance amid awards-season biopic momentum—scenarios traders dismiss given current skin-in-the-game positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest Domestically Grossing April Film on May 31?
Highest Domestically Grossing April Film on May 31?
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie 98.8%
Michael <1%
You, Me & Tuscany <1%
The Whistler <1%
$78,155 Vol.
$78,155 Vol.
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
99%
Michael
<1%
You, Me & Tuscany
<1%
The Whistler
<1%
Wasteland Cop
<1%
Lorne
<1%
Mother Mary
<1%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie 98.8%
Michael <1%
You, Me & Tuscany <1%
The Whistler <1%
$78,155 Vol.
$78,155 Vol.
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
99%
Michael
<1%
You, Me & Tuscany
<1%
The Whistler
<1%
Wasteland Cop
<1%
Lorne
<1%
Mother Mary
<1%
In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
If there is no final data available by June 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日: Mar 25, 2026, 5:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
If there is no final data available by June 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's near-lock status at 98.9% trader consensus stems from blockbuster tracking projections of $175–180 million domestic opening over its five-day April 1 debut, easily outpacing rivals like the Michael Jackson biopic's forecasted $80–90 million start on April 24. Building on the 2023 Super Mario Bros. Movie's $1.36 billion worldwide haul and family-friendly Nintendo IP appeal, presales and global buzz signal sustained legs through May 31, bolstered by minimal family competition. Realistic upsets would require disastrous reviews, poor word-of-mouth eroding multiverse holdover audiences, or an unprecedented Michael overperformance amid awards-season biopic momentum—scenarios traders dismiss given current skin-in-the-game positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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