Argentina's status as defending champions and third-ranked FIFA side drives their 75% implied probability to top Group J, bolstered by a deep squad featuring Lionel Messi and emerging talents like Julián Álvarez despite recent fringe injuries such as Joaquín Panichelli's ACL tear last week. Austria, riding high from topping UEFA qualifying Group H under Ralf Rangnick with stars like David Alaba and Marcel Sabitzer, holds 18% as the consensus runner-up in a group they view as winnable after 28 years absent from the World Cup. Algeria's inconsistent Africa qualifiers and lower 28th ranking cap them at 5.8%, while debutants Jordan lag at 1.1% amid their 63rd position and limited experience against elite opposition.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日アルゼンチン 75%
オーストリア 18%
アルジェリア 5.8%
ヨルダン 1.1%
$39,118 Vol.
$39,118 Vol.
アルゼンチン
75%
オーストリア
18%
アルジェリア
6%
ヨルダン
1%
アルゼンチン 75%
オーストリア 18%
アルジェリア 5.8%
ヨルダン 1.1%
$39,118 Vol.
$39,118 Vol.
アルゼンチン
75%
オーストリア
18%
アルジェリア
6%
ヨルダン
1%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Argentina's status as defending champions and third-ranked FIFA side drives their 75% implied probability to top Group J, bolstered by a deep squad featuring Lionel Messi and emerging talents like Julián Álvarez despite recent fringe injuries such as Joaquín Panichelli's ACL tear last week. Austria, riding high from topping UEFA qualifying Group H under Ralf Rangnick with stars like David Alaba and Marcel Sabitzer, holds 18% as the consensus runner-up in a group they view as winnable after 28 years absent from the World Cup. Algeria's inconsistent Africa qualifiers and lower 28th ranking cap them at 5.8%, while debutants Jordan lag at 1.1% amid their 63rd position and limited experience against elite opposition.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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