Belgium's commanding 70% implied probability as Group G winner stems from its elite FIFA ranking, star-laden squad featuring Kevin De Bruyne and Romelu Lukaku, and proven major tournament pedigree, including deep World Cup runs. Traders see little risk of an upset from Egypt (20.5%), whose attack hinges on Mohamed Salah but lacks Belgium's depth amid inconsistent group-stage history. Iran's 6.2% reflects gritty qualifying form and defensive organization, though offensive limitations cap upside against top sides. New Zealand trails at 3.3% as the clear underdog, relying on set-piece threats but vulnerable to superior athleticism. No major injuries or lineup shifts reported recently, keeping sentiment stable on form from recent internationals.