Spain's 81% implied probability as Group H winner stems from their elite FIFA ranking near the top, unbeaten March friendlies including a 3-0 rout of Serbia and 0-0 draw with Egypt, and unmatched squad depth featuring Lamine Yamal, Pedri, and Rodri amid Nico Williams' minor injury concerns. Uruguay holds 15.5% as the chief threat, buoyed by Federico Valverde's stoppage-time penalty rescuing a 1-1 draw against England and solid CONMEBOL qualifying finish. Saudi Arabia (2.5%) and Cape Verde (2.4%) trail with upset potential—Saudi's past Argentina shock and Cape Verde's historic CAF triumph plus recent Finland win—but recent losses like Saudi's to Serbia underscore barriers against the favorites in this top-heavy group.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日スペイン 81%
ウルグアイ 16%
サウジアラビア 2.5%
カーボベルデ 2.3%
$70,332 Vol.
$70,332 Vol.
2026/06/27
スペイン
81%
ウルグアイ
16%
サウジアラビア
3%
カーボベルデ
2%
スペイン 81%
ウルグアイ 16%
サウジアラビア 2.5%
カーボベルデ 2.3%
$70,332 Vol.
$70,332 Vol.
2026/06/27
スペイン
$8,320 Vol.
81%
ウルグアイ
$2,966 Vol.
16%
サウジアラビア
$4,442 Vol.
3%
カーボベルデ
$54,602 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain's 81% implied probability as Group H winner stems from their elite FIFA ranking near the top, unbeaten March friendlies including a 3-0 rout of Serbia and 0-0 draw with Egypt, and unmatched squad depth featuring Lamine Yamal, Pedri, and Rodri amid Nico Williams' minor injury concerns. Uruguay holds 15.5% as the chief threat, buoyed by Federico Valverde's stoppage-time penalty rescuing a 1-1 draw against England and solid CONMEBOL qualifying finish. Saudi Arabia (2.5%) and Cape Verde (2.4%) trail with upset potential—Saudi's past Argentina shock and Cape Verde's historic CAF triumph plus recent Finland win—but recent losses like Saudi's to Serbia underscore barriers against the favorites in this top-heavy group.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
音量
$70,332終了日
2026/06/27マーケット開始日
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain's 81% implied probability as Group H winner stems from their elite FIFA ranking near the top, unbeaten March friendlies including a 3-0 rout of Serbia and 0-0 draw with Egypt, and unmatched squad depth featuring Lamine Yamal, Pedri, and Rodri amid Nico Williams' minor injury concerns. Uruguay holds 15.5% as the chief threat, buoyed by Federico Valverde's stoppage-time penalty rescuing a 1-1 draw against England and solid CONMEBOL qualifying finish. Saudi Arabia (2.5%) and Cape Verde (2.4%) trail with upset potential—Saudi's past Argentina shock and Cape Verde's historic CAF triumph plus recent Finland win—but recent losses like Saudi's to Serbia underscore barriers against the favorites in this top-heavy group.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$70,332終了日
2026/06/27マーケット開始日
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain's 81% implied probability as Group H winner stems from their elite FIFA ranking near the top, unbeaten March friendlies including a 3-0 rout of Serbia and 0-0 draw with Egypt, and unmatched squad depth featuring Lamine Yamal, Pedri, and Rodri amid Nico Williams' minor injury concerns. Uruguay holds 15.5% as the chief threat, buoyed by Federico Valverde's stoppage-time penalty rescuing a 1-1 draw against England and solid CONMEBOL qualifying finish. Saudi Arabia (2.5%) and Cape Verde (2.4%) trail with upset potential—Saudi's past Argentina shock and Cape Verde's historic CAF triumph plus recent Finland win—but recent losses like Saudi's to Serbia underscore barriers against the favorites in this top-heavy group.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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