Trader consensus reflects a razor-thin Group D contest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, with USA (38.5%) edging the bundled UEFA playoff winner—now confirmed as Turkey—at 38.0% following Turkey's narrow victory in the European qualifiers final over the weekend. As co-host, USA holds home advantage across matches starting June 12, bolstered by its #16 FIFA ranking and familiar North American conditions, but Turkey's #22-ranked squad arrives with playoff momentum and a robust qualifying campaign featuring resilient defenses and counterattacking prowess. Paraguay (#40) and Australia (#27) trail at 16.5% and 8.3%, hampered by inconsistent CONMEBOL/AFC paths and lower rankings, underscoring the group winner's dependence on early results and head-to-head dynamics in this evenly matched draw.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日アメリカ 39%
KOS/ROU/SVK/TUR 38%
パラグアイ 17%
オーストラリア 8.2%
$14,057 Vol.
$14,057 Vol.
アメリカ
39%
KOS/ROU/SVK/TUR
38%
パラグアイ
17%
オーストラリア
8%
アメリカ 39%
KOS/ROU/SVK/TUR 38%
パラグアイ 17%
オーストラリア 8.2%
$14,057 Vol.
$14,057 Vol.
アメリカ
39%
KOS/ROU/SVK/TUR
38%
パラグアイ
17%
オーストラリア
8%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus reflects a razor-thin Group D contest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, with USA (38.5%) edging the bundled UEFA playoff winner—now confirmed as Turkey—at 38.0% following Turkey's narrow victory in the European qualifiers final over the weekend. As co-host, USA holds home advantage across matches starting June 12, bolstered by its #16 FIFA ranking and familiar North American conditions, but Turkey's #22-ranked squad arrives with playoff momentum and a robust qualifying campaign featuring resilient defenses and counterattacking prowess. Paraguay (#40) and Australia (#27) trail at 16.5% and 8.3%, hampered by inconsistent CONMEBOL/AFC paths and lower rankings, underscoring the group winner's dependence on early results and head-to-head dynamics in this evenly matched draw.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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