The United States and Türkiye sit nearly even in trader consensus for topping Group D, driven by the co-host's home-soil advantage and recent friendlies offset by Türkiye's stronger recent results. The Americans defeated both Paraguay and Australia 2-1 in 2025 warm-ups yet suffered heavy March losses to Belgium and Portugal that exposed defensive vulnerabilities ahead of Mauricio Pochettino's final squad selection. Türkiye, meanwhile, posted six wins in its last eight friendlies while holding a higher current ranking than Paraguay or Australia. With all four sides entering the June group stage without major injuries or withdrawals, the narrow gap between the top two contenders underscores the even matchup and the possibility that any single result or set-piece edge could shift the implied probability for first place.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日アメリカ 40%
トルコ 37%
パラグアイ 18%
オーストラリア 8.9%
$44,823 Vol.
$44,823 Vol.
アメリカ
40%
トルコ
37%
パラグアイ
18%
オーストラリア
9%
アメリカ 40%
トルコ 37%
パラグアイ 18%
オーストラリア 8.9%
$44,823 Vol.
$44,823 Vol.
アメリカ
40%
トルコ
37%
パラグアイ
18%
オーストラリア
9%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The United States and Türkiye sit nearly even in trader consensus for topping Group D, driven by the co-host's home-soil advantage and recent friendlies offset by Türkiye's stronger recent results. The Americans defeated both Paraguay and Australia 2-1 in 2025 warm-ups yet suffered heavy March losses to Belgium and Portugal that exposed defensive vulnerabilities ahead of Mauricio Pochettino's final squad selection. Türkiye, meanwhile, posted six wins in its last eight friendlies while holding a higher current ranking than Paraguay or Australia. With all four sides entering the June group stage without major injuries or withdrawals, the narrow gap between the top two contenders underscores the even matchup and the possibility that any single result or set-piece edge could shift the implied probability for first place.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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