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ユーロビジョン・チャンピオン2026

Market icon

ユーロビジョン・チャンピオン2026

フィンランド 36.9%

フランス 12.3%

デンマーク 10.5%

ギリシャ 7.1%

Polymarket

$63,172,322 Vol.

フィンランド 36.9%

フランス 12.3%

デンマーク 10.5%

ギリシャ 7.1%

Polymarket

$63,172,322 Vol.

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フィンランド

$1,916,432 Vol.

37%

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フランス

$1,504,344 Vol.

12%

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デンマーク

$1,030,383 Vol.

11%

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ギリシャ

$1,422,709 Vol.

7%

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オーストラリア

$1,283,377 Vol.

7%

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イスラエル

$1,293,796 Vol.

4%

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スウェーデン

$1,007,236 Vol.

3%

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ウクライナ

$1,204,603 Vol.

3%

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ルーマニア

$987,334 Vol.

2%

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イタリア

$1,600,845 Vol.

2%

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チェコ

$835,558 Vol.

1%

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キプロス

$1,169,518 Vol.

1%

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マルタ

$1,066,260 Vol.

1%

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ブルガリア

$1,151,324 Vol.

1%

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リトアニア

$1,984,746 Vol.

1%

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クロアチア

$1,007,347 Vol.

1%

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ルクセンブルク

$1,085,118 Vol.

1%

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モルドバ

$1,272,243 Vol.

1%

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ノルウェー

$1,503,278 Vol.

1%

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イギリス

$782,815 Vol.

1%

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アルバニア

$2,688,555 Vol.

<1%

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ベルギー

$1,439,641 Vol.

<1%

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エストニア

$3,249,670 Vol.

<1%

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ドイツ

$1,033,910 Vol.

<1%

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ポルトガル

$2,613,367 Vol.

<1%

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サンマリノ

$2,933,046 Vol.

<1%

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アルメニア

$2,657,752 Vol.

<1%

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アゼルバイジャン

$3,162,314 Vol.

<1%

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ジョージア

$2,801,821 Vol.

<1%

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スイス

$2,496,560 Vol.

<1%

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オーストリア

$2,966,230 Vol.

<1%

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ラトビア

$2,855,983 Vol.

<1%

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モンテネグロ

$3,326,502 Vol.

<1%

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ポーランド

$2,677,547 Vol.

<1%

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セルビア

$1,161,462 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by violinist Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen commands a 36.9% implied probability as the clear frontrunner following its dominant win at UMK on February 28, blending jury-pleasing sophistication with high-energy televote appeal reminiscent of past Nordic hits like "Cha Cha Cha." Trader sentiment surged on early fan poll successes, including OGAE France's 12 points, and viral TikTok traction amid completed national selections across 35 countries. France (12.3%) and Denmark (10.5%) trail as Big Five and regional powerhouses with polished entries gaining precursor buzz, while Greece and Australia hover around 7% on melodic hooks and strong diaspora support. With rehearsals looming ahead of Vienna's May 12-16 dates, semi-final qualifiers and live staging could spark momentum shifts in this wide-open field.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
音量
$63,172,322
終了日
2026/05/16
マーケット開始日
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by violinist Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen commands a 36.9% implied probability as the clear frontrunner following its dominant win at UMK on February 28, blending jury-pleasing sophistication with high-energy televote appeal reminiscent of past Nordic hits like "Cha Cha Cha." Trader sentiment surged on early fan poll successes, including OGAE France's 12 points, and viral TikTok traction amid completed national selections across 35 countries. France (12.3%) and Denmark (10.5%) trail as Big Five and regional powerhouses with polished entries gaining precursor buzz, while Greece and Australia hover around 7% on melodic hooks and strong diaspora support. With rehearsals looming ahead of Vienna's May 12-16 dates, semi-final qualifiers and live staging could spark momentum shifts in this wide-open field.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
音量
$63,172,322
終了日
2026/05/16
マーケット開始日
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ユーロビジョン・チャンピオン2026」はPolymarket上の35個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「フィンランド」で37%、次いで「フランス」が12%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、37¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に37%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ユーロビジョン・チャンピオン2026」は$63.2 millionの総取引量を生み出しています(Dec 6, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ユーロビジョン・チャンピオン2026」で取引するには、このページに記載されている35個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ユーロビジョン・チャンピオン2026」の現在のフロントランナーは「フィンランド」で37%であり、市場がこの結果に37%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「フランス」で12%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ユーロビジョン・チャンピオン2026」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。