Everett Jackson's commanding 38% to Sholdon Daniels' 24% finish in the March 3 Texas Republican primary for the 30th Congressional District propelled him to an 83% implied probability as the runoff favorite on May 26, reflecting trader consensus on his first-round momentum and grassroots strength despite Daniels' 23-to-1 fundraising edge through late March. Eliminated candidates Gregor Heise and Nils Walker trail at 1.2% and 0.1%, underscoring their primary defeats in the four-way field. With early voting starting May 18 in this Democratic-leaning Dallas district, no major endorsements or polls have shifted dynamics in the past week, maintaining Jackson's lead amid low GOP turnout expectations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoEverett Jackson 83.9%
Sholdon Daniels 12%
Gregor Heise 1.0%
Nils Walker <1%
$23,686 Vol.
$23,686 Vol.
Everett Jackson
84%
Sholdon Daniels
12%
Gregor Heise
1%
Nils Walker
<1%
Everett Jackson 83.9%
Sholdon Daniels 12%
Gregor Heise 1.0%
Nils Walker <1%
$23,686 Vol.
$23,686 Vol.
Everett Jackson
84%
Sholdon Daniels
12%
Gregor Heise
1%
Nils Walker
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercato aperto: Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Everett Jackson's commanding 38% to Sholdon Daniels' 24% finish in the March 3 Texas Republican primary for the 30th Congressional District propelled him to an 83% implied probability as the runoff favorite on May 26, reflecting trader consensus on his first-round momentum and grassroots strength despite Daniels' 23-to-1 fundraising edge through late March. Eliminated candidates Gregor Heise and Nils Walker trail at 1.2% and 0.1%, underscoring their primary defeats in the four-way field. With early voting starting May 18 in this Democratic-leaning Dallas district, no major endorsements or polls have shifted dynamics in the past week, maintaining Jackson's lead amid low GOP turnout expectations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti