Philadelphia's PA-03 Democratic primary remains a tight three-way contest one month before the May 19 closed primary, with trader consensus favoring state Sen. Sharif Street at 40% implied probability due to his recent endorsement from Mayor Cherelle Parker and broad establishment support leveraging Philadelphia's ward machine. Pediatric surgeon Ala Stanford holds 33% on strong cash reserves—leading at $450,000 after Q1 reports—and a pro-Stanford poll showing her at 28%, while state Rep. Chris Rabb's 24% reflects progressive backing from CPC PAC, Justice Democrats, and Working Families Party despite a staffer scandal, as his fundraising haul nearly doubled rivals. Factional splits among establishment, moderate, and progressive voters, plus undecided turnout in this D+40 open seat replacing Rep. Dwight Evans, sustain the deadlock; further endorsements or ad spending could separate frontrunners.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSharif Street 41%
Ala Stanford 33.3%
Chris Rabb 23.9%
Gabriel Caceres 1.3%
$21,941 Vol.
$21,941 Vol.
Sharif Street
40%
Ala Stanford
33%
Chris Rabb
24%
Gabriel Caceres
1%
David Oxman
1%
Morgan Cephas
1%
Robin Toldens
1%
Sharif Street 41%
Ala Stanford 33.3%
Chris Rabb 23.9%
Gabriel Caceres 1.3%
$21,941 Vol.
$21,941 Vol.
Sharif Street
40%
Ala Stanford
33%
Chris Rabb
24%
Gabriel Caceres
1%
David Oxman
1%
Morgan Cephas
1%
Robin Toldens
1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercato aperto: Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Philadelphia's PA-03 Democratic primary remains a tight three-way contest one month before the May 19 closed primary, with trader consensus favoring state Sen. Sharif Street at 40% implied probability due to his recent endorsement from Mayor Cherelle Parker and broad establishment support leveraging Philadelphia's ward machine. Pediatric surgeon Ala Stanford holds 33% on strong cash reserves—leading at $450,000 after Q1 reports—and a pro-Stanford poll showing her at 28%, while state Rep. Chris Rabb's 24% reflects progressive backing from CPC PAC, Justice Democrats, and Working Families Party despite a staffer scandal, as his fundraising haul nearly doubled rivals. Factional splits among establishment, moderate, and progressive voters, plus undecided turnout in this D+40 open seat replacing Rep. Dwight Evans, sustain the deadlock; further endorsements or ad spending could separate frontrunners.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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