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Politica·Primarie

PA-03 Vincitore delle primarie democratiche

icon for PA-03 Vincitore delle primarie democratiche
Politica·Primarie

PA-03 Vincitore delle primarie democratiche

Sharif Street 38%

Ala Stanford 29.6%

Chris Rabb 28.0%

Gabriel Caceres 1.0%

Polymarket

$24,336 Vol.

Sharif Street 38%

Ala Stanford 29.6%

Chris Rabb 28.0%

Gabriel Caceres 1.0%

Polymarket

$24,336 Vol.

Sharif Street

$6,035 Vol.

38%

Ala Stanford

$2,371 Vol.

30%

Chris Rabb

$2,742 Vol.

28%

Gabriel Caceres

$3,868 Vol.

1%

Morgan Cephas

$1,428 Vol.

<1%

Robin Toldens

$3,523 Vol.

<1%

David Oxman

$4,368 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary on May 19, trader consensus gives state Sen. Sharif Street a slim edge at 37% implied probability, reflecting his dominant establishment support—including endorsements from Philadelphia Mayor Cherelle Parker, most City Council members, major unions like AFSCME and building trades, and the local Democratic Party—bolstered by recent field narrowing as state Rep. Morgan Cephas exited to back him. Pediatric surgeon Ala Stanford (30%) and state Rep. Chris Rabb (28%) trail closely, fueled by Stanford's backing from retiring Rep. Dwight Evans and U.S. Reps. Madeleine Dean and Chrissy Houlahan, plus Rabb's progressive roster including the Philadelphia Inquirer editorial board and Reps. Ro Khanna and Ilhan Omar. A pro-Stanford PPP poll last week showed her leading 28-23-16, but traders weigh Street's machine strength in this +40D Philly district against progressive turnout and Gaza divides exposed in an off-the-rails forum this week, keeping the race volatile ahead of mail ballots and early voting.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$24,336
Data di fine
19 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary on May 19, trader consensus gives state Sen. Sharif Street a slim edge at 37% implied probability, reflecting his dominant establishment support—including endorsements from Philadelphia Mayor Cherelle Parker, most City Council members, major unions like AFSCME and building trades, and the local Democratic Party—bolstered by recent field narrowing as state Rep. Morgan Cephas exited to back him. Pediatric surgeon Ala Stanford (30%) and state Rep. Chris Rabb (28%) trail closely, fueled by Stanford's backing from retiring Rep. Dwight Evans and U.S. Reps. Madeleine Dean and Chrissy Houlahan, plus Rabb's progressive roster including the Philadelphia Inquirer editorial board and Reps. Ro Khanna and Ilhan Omar. A pro-Stanford PPP poll last week showed her leading 28-23-16, but traders weigh Street's machine strength in this +40D Philly district against progressive turnout and Gaza divides exposed in an off-the-rails forum this week, keeping the race volatile ahead of mail ballots and early voting.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$24,336
Data di fine
19 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"PA-03 Vincitore delle primarie democratiche" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 7 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Sharif Street" a 38%, seguito da "Ala Stanford" a 30%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 38¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 38% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "PA-03 Vincitore delle primarie democratiche" ha generato $24.3K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Nov 25, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "PA-03 Vincitore delle primarie democratiche", esplora i 7 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "PA-03 Vincitore delle primarie democratiche" è "Sharif Street" a 38%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 38% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Ala Stanford" a 30%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "PA-03 Vincitore delle primarie democratiche" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.