Romuald Wadagni's commanding 99.7% implied probability on Polymarket reflects his certified landslide victory in Benin's April 12 presidential election, where the finance minister and outgoing President Patrice Talon's endorsed successor secured over 94% of votes according to the electoral commission's provisional tallies, later confirmed by the Constitutional Court on April 17. Sole opposition candidate Paul Hounkpè conceded defeat shortly after results emerged, citing an irreversible trend amid limited opposition participation due to prior parliamentary outcomes favoring the ruling coalition. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus anticipates Wadagni's inauguration as president-elect, barring extraordinary disruptions like successful legal challenges, health issues, or unforeseen scandals—scenarios with negligible precedent in Benin's recent electoral history.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoProssimo Presidente del Benin
Prossimo Presidente del Benin
$33,006 Vol.
$33,006 Vol.
12 apr 2026
Romuald Wadagni
100%
Paul Hounkpè
<1%
$33,006 Vol.
$33,006 Vol.
12 apr 2026
Romuald Wadagni
$22,000 Vol.
100%
Paul Hounkpè
$11,007 Vol.
<1%
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Benin on 12 April 2026, with a potential runoff to be held within 15 days if no candidate secures an absolute majority.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romuald Wadagni's commanding 99.7% implied probability on Polymarket reflects his certified landslide victory in Benin's April 12 presidential election, where the finance minister and outgoing President Patrice Talon's endorsed successor secured over 94% of votes according to the electoral commission's provisional tallies, later confirmed by the Constitutional Court on April 17. Sole opposition candidate Paul Hounkpè conceded defeat shortly after results emerged, citing an irreversible trend amid limited opposition participation due to prior parliamentary outcomes favoring the ruling coalition. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus anticipates Wadagni's inauguration as president-elect, barring extraordinary disruptions like successful legal challenges, health issues, or unforeseen scandals—scenarios with negligible precedent in Benin's recent electoral history.
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Benin on 12 April 2026, with a potential runoff to be held within 15 days if no candidate secures an absolute majority.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Mar 19, 2026, 7:17 PM ET
Volume
$33,006Data di fine
12 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 19, 2026, 7:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Benin on 12 April 2026, with a potential runoff to be held within 15 days if no candidate secures an absolute majority.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romuald Wadagni's commanding 99.7% implied probability on Polymarket reflects his certified landslide victory in Benin's April 12 presidential election, where the finance minister and outgoing President Patrice Talon's endorsed successor secured over 94% of votes according to the electoral commission's provisional tallies, later confirmed by the Constitutional Court on April 17. Sole opposition candidate Paul Hounkpè conceded defeat shortly after results emerged, citing an irreversible trend amid limited opposition participation due to prior parliamentary outcomes favoring the ruling coalition. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus anticipates Wadagni's inauguration as president-elect, barring extraordinary disruptions like successful legal challenges, health issues, or unforeseen scandals—scenarios with negligible precedent in Benin's recent electoral history.
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Benin on 12 April 2026, with a potential runoff to be held within 15 days if no candidate secures an absolute majority.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$33,006Data di fine
12 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 19, 2026, 7:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Romuald Wadagni's commanding 99.7% implied probability on Polymarket reflects his certified landslide victory in Benin's April 12 presidential election, where the finance minister and outgoing President Patrice Talon's endorsed successor secured over 94% of votes according to the electoral commission's provisional tallies, later confirmed by the Constitutional Court on April 17. Sole opposition candidate Paul Hounkpè conceded defeat shortly after results emerged, citing an irreversible trend amid limited opposition participation due to prior parliamentary outcomes favoring the ruling coalition. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus anticipates Wadagni's inauguration as president-elect, barring extraordinary disruptions like successful legal challenges, health issues, or unforeseen scandals—scenarios with negligible precedent in Benin's recent electoral history.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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