Incumbent Republican Troy Downing faces no primary opposition in Montana’s 2nd congressional district, a seat rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball with an R+15 partisan voter index. Downing secured 65.7 percent of the vote in 2024 across the eastern Montana district that includes Billings, Great Falls, and Helena. Democrats have filed multiple candidates for their June 2 primary, yet the district’s consistent Republican performance and lack of competitive GOP challengers have produced the current trader consensus. A late-breaking scandal involving the incumbent or an unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow the margin, though structural and historical factors continue to anchor expectations for November 3.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMT-02 House Election Winner
MT-02 House Election Winner
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
$6,411 Vol.
93%
Democratic Party
$2,914 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Troy Downing faces no primary opposition in Montana’s 2nd congressional district, a seat rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball with an R+15 partisan voter index. Downing secured 65.7 percent of the vote in 2024 across the eastern Montana district that includes Billings, Great Falls, and Helena. Democrats have filed multiple candidates for their June 2 primary, yet the district’s consistent Republican performance and lack of competitive GOP challengers have produced the current trader consensus. A late-breaking scandal involving the incumbent or an unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow the margin, though structural and historical factors continue to anchor expectations for November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$9,324Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Troy Downing faces no primary opposition in Montana’s 2nd congressional district, a seat rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball with an R+15 partisan voter index. Downing secured 65.7 percent of the vote in 2024 across the eastern Montana district that includes Billings, Great Falls, and Helena. Democrats have filed multiple candidates for their June 2 primary, yet the district’s consistent Republican performance and lack of competitive GOP challengers have produced the current trader consensus. A late-breaking scandal involving the incumbent or an unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow the margin, though structural and historical factors continue to anchor expectations for November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$9,324Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Troy Downing faces no primary opposition in Montana’s 2nd congressional district, a seat rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball with an R+15 partisan voter index. Downing secured 65.7 percent of the vote in 2024 across the eastern Montana district that includes Billings, Great Falls, and Helena. Democrats have filed multiple candidates for their June 2 primary, yet the district’s consistent Republican performance and lack of competitive GOP challengers have produced the current trader consensus. A late-breaking scandal involving the incumbent or an unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow the margin, though structural and historical factors continue to anchor expectations for November 3.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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