Oregon's 3rd Congressional District maintains a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+24, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential and House elections. Incumbent Representative Maxine Dexter secured her party's nomination with nearly 90 percent of the primary vote on May 19, 2026, while the Republican nominee has reported no fundraising activity. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 93.5 percent implied probability of victory, consistent with the district's structural advantage and the absence of competitive opposition or recent developments that would alter the baseline outlook. A major scandal, health event, or unexpected national shift could still influence the November general election result.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoOR-03 House Election Winner
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oregon's 3rd Congressional District maintains a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+24, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential and House elections. Incumbent Representative Maxine Dexter secured her party's nomination with nearly 90 percent of the primary vote on May 19, 2026, while the Republican nominee has reported no fundraising activity. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 93.5 percent implied probability of victory, consistent with the district's structural advantage and the absence of competitive opposition or recent developments that would alter the baseline outlook. A major scandal, health event, or unexpected national shift could still influence the November general election result.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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