Trever Nehls holds a commanding lead in the Texas 22nd congressional district general election due to the seat's established Republican lean and his decisive primary victory as the endorsed successor to retiring incumbent Troy Nehls. The district delivered strong Republican margins in recent cycles, including a 60-point partisan lean and Donald Trump's 2024 performance, while Nehls secured 75.7% in the March primary against limited opposition and benefits from family ties plus establishment support. Marquette Greene-Scott's Democratic primary win has not shifted the broader dynamics. Trader consensus reflects this structural advantage, though events such as unexpected national shifts, candidate-specific developments, or turnout anomalies before the November 3 vote could narrow the gap in this open-seat contest.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTX-22 House Election Winner
TX-22 House Election Winner
$26,537 Vol.
$26,537 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Trever Nehls (R)
93%
Marquette Greene-Scott (D)
8%
$26,537 Vol.
$26,537 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Trever Nehls (R)
$16,948 Vol.
93%
Marquette Greene-Scott (D)
$9,589 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trever Nehls holds a commanding lead in the Texas 22nd congressional district general election due to the seat's established Republican lean and his decisive primary victory as the endorsed successor to retiring incumbent Troy Nehls. The district delivered strong Republican margins in recent cycles, including a 60-point partisan lean and Donald Trump's 2024 performance, while Nehls secured 75.7% in the March primary against limited opposition and benefits from family ties plus establishment support. Marquette Greene-Scott's Democratic primary win has not shifted the broader dynamics. Trader consensus reflects this structural advantage, though events such as unexpected national shifts, candidate-specific developments, or turnout anomalies before the November 3 vote could narrow the gap in this open-seat contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$26,537Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trever Nehls holds a commanding lead in the Texas 22nd congressional district general election due to the seat's established Republican lean and his decisive primary victory as the endorsed successor to retiring incumbent Troy Nehls. The district delivered strong Republican margins in recent cycles, including a 60-point partisan lean and Donald Trump's 2024 performance, while Nehls secured 75.7% in the March primary against limited opposition and benefits from family ties plus establishment support. Marquette Greene-Scott's Democratic primary win has not shifted the broader dynamics. Trader consensus reflects this structural advantage, though events such as unexpected national shifts, candidate-specific developments, or turnout anomalies before the November 3 vote could narrow the gap in this open-seat contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$26,537Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Trever Nehls holds a commanding lead in the Texas 22nd congressional district general election due to the seat's established Republican lean and his decisive primary victory as the endorsed successor to retiring incumbent Troy Nehls. The district delivered strong Republican margins in recent cycles, including a 60-point partisan lean and Donald Trump's 2024 performance, while Nehls secured 75.7% in the March primary against limited opposition and benefits from family ties plus establishment support. Marquette Greene-Scott's Democratic primary win has not shifted the broader dynamics. Trader consensus reflects this structural advantage, though events such as unexpected national shifts, candidate-specific developments, or turnout anomalies before the November 3 vote could narrow the gap in this open-seat contest.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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