Marty Jackley secured the Republican nomination for South Dakota’s at-large House seat with 79 percent in the June primary after incumbent Dusty Johnson opted to run for governor instead. As the state’s attorney general with prior service in the role and as U.S. attorney, Jackley benefits from high name recognition and endorsements in a district rated solidly Republican by forecasters. Republicans have held the seat without interruption since 2008. Nikki Gronli, the Democratic nominee and former USDA rural development director, faces the structural challenge of competing in a state where the party has not won a congressional race in nearly two decades. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Jackley reflects these fundamentals; only an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal or health event would realistically alter the outcome before November 3.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSD-AL House Election Winner
SD-AL House Election Winner
$32,047 Vol.
$32,047 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Marty Jackley (R)
95%
Nikki Gronli (D)
3%
$32,047 Vol.
$32,047 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Marty Jackley (R)
$24,359 Vol.
95%
Nikki Gronli (D)
$7,688 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Marty Jackley secured the Republican nomination for South Dakota’s at-large House seat with 79 percent in the June primary after incumbent Dusty Johnson opted to run for governor instead. As the state’s attorney general with prior service in the role and as U.S. attorney, Jackley benefits from high name recognition and endorsements in a district rated solidly Republican by forecasters. Republicans have held the seat without interruption since 2008. Nikki Gronli, the Democratic nominee and former USDA rural development director, faces the structural challenge of competing in a state where the party has not won a congressional race in nearly two decades. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Jackley reflects these fundamentals; only an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal or health event would realistically alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$32,047Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Marty Jackley secured the Republican nomination for South Dakota’s at-large House seat with 79 percent in the June primary after incumbent Dusty Johnson opted to run for governor instead. As the state’s attorney general with prior service in the role and as U.S. attorney, Jackley benefits from high name recognition and endorsements in a district rated solidly Republican by forecasters. Republicans have held the seat without interruption since 2008. Nikki Gronli, the Democratic nominee and former USDA rural development director, faces the structural challenge of competing in a state where the party has not won a congressional race in nearly two decades. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Jackley reflects these fundamentals; only an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal or health event would realistically alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$32,047Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Marty Jackley secured the Republican nomination for South Dakota’s at-large House seat with 79 percent in the June primary after incumbent Dusty Johnson opted to run for governor instead. As the state’s attorney general with prior service in the role and as U.S. attorney, Jackley benefits from high name recognition and endorsements in a district rated solidly Republican by forecasters. Republicans have held the seat without interruption since 2008. Nikki Gronli, the Democratic nominee and former USDA rural development director, faces the structural challenge of competing in a state where the party has not won a congressional race in nearly two decades. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Jackley reflects these fundamentals; only an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal or health event would realistically alter the outcome before November 3.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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