Incumbent Democrat John Mannion seeks re-election in New York’s 22nd district, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+4 that he captured in 2024. Republican Kailee Buller, who announced her candidacy earlier this year and has drawn support from agricultural interests, heads into the June 23 primaries alongside other GOP contenders. With no major recent polling or campaign-shifting events reported, trader consensus reflects the modest structural Democratic edge offset by the early stage of the cycle and potential for primary outcomes or national midterm dynamics to influence the general election on November 3.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNY-22 House Election Winner
NY-22 House Election Winner
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 nov 2026
Democratic Party
54%
Republican Party
42%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$240 Vol.
54%
Republican Party
$132 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat John Mannion seeks re-election in New York’s 22nd district, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+4 that he captured in 2024. Republican Kailee Buller, who announced her candidacy earlier this year and has drawn support from agricultural interests, heads into the June 23 primaries alongside other GOP contenders. With no major recent polling or campaign-shifting events reported, trader consensus reflects the modest structural Democratic edge offset by the early stage of the cycle and potential for primary outcomes or national midterm dynamics to influence the general election on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Volume
$372Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat John Mannion seeks re-election in New York’s 22nd district, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+4 that he captured in 2024. Republican Kailee Buller, who announced her candidacy earlier this year and has drawn support from agricultural interests, heads into the June 23 primaries alongside other GOP contenders. With no major recent polling or campaign-shifting events reported, trader consensus reflects the modest structural Democratic edge offset by the early stage of the cycle and potential for primary outcomes or national midterm dynamics to influence the general election on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$372Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat John Mannion seeks re-election in New York’s 22nd district, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+4 that he captured in 2024. Republican Kailee Buller, who announced her candidacy earlier this year and has drawn support from agricultural interests, heads into the June 23 primaries alongside other GOP contenders. With no major recent polling or campaign-shifting events reported, trader consensus reflects the modest structural Democratic edge offset by the early stage of the cycle and potential for primary outcomes or national midterm dynamics to influence the general election on November 3.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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