The strong Republican tilt of Illinois's 16th congressional district, with its R+11 partisan voting index and rural base across central and northern counties, anchors trader consensus on the Republican Party at 88.5 percent. Incumbent Darin LaHood advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary and faces Democrat Paul Nolley in the November 3 general election. LaHood has held the seat since redistricting and secured consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. No major developments, polling shifts, or additional challengers have emerged in recent weeks to alter the structural advantages of incumbency and district composition.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIL-16 House Election Winner
IL-16 House Election Winner
$15,429 Vol.
$15,429 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
89%
Democratic Party
12%
$15,429 Vol.
$15,429 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
$4,149 Vol.
89%
Democratic Party
$11,280 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Republican tilt of Illinois's 16th congressional district, with its R+11 partisan voting index and rural base across central and northern counties, anchors trader consensus on the Republican Party at 88.5 percent. Incumbent Darin LaHood advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary and faces Democrat Paul Nolley in the November 3 general election. LaHood has held the seat since redistricting and secured consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. No major developments, polling shifts, or additional challengers have emerged in recent weeks to alter the structural advantages of incumbency and district composition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$15,429Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Republican tilt of Illinois's 16th congressional district, with its R+11 partisan voting index and rural base across central and northern counties, anchors trader consensus on the Republican Party at 88.5 percent. Incumbent Darin LaHood advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary and faces Democrat Paul Nolley in the November 3 general election. LaHood has held the seat since redistricting and secured consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. No major developments, polling shifts, or additional challengers have emerged in recent weeks to alter the structural advantages of incumbency and district composition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$15,429Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Republican tilt of Illinois's 16th congressional district, with its R+11 partisan voting index and rural base across central and northern counties, anchors trader consensus on the Republican Party at 88.5 percent. Incumbent Darin LaHood advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary and faces Democrat Paul Nolley in the November 3 general election. LaHood has held the seat since redistricting and secured consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. No major developments, polling shifts, or additional challengers have emerged in recent weeks to alter the structural advantages of incumbency and district composition.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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