Incumbent Republican Rep. John Carter's decisive March 3 primary win with nearly 60% of the vote against nine challengers solidified his nomination in Texas's 31st Congressional District, a Solid Republican seat per Cook Political Report with an R+11 partisan voting index covering Austin exurbs like Georgetown and Killeen. Democrat Justin Early secured his party's nomination with 58%, but faces long odds amid Carter's fundraising dominance—$246,000 cash on hand to Early's $8,000 as of late March—and the district's consistent GOP performance. No public polling has emerged since primaries, leaving trader consensus reflecting incumbency advantage and partisan lean ahead of the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTX-31 Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali
TX-31 Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali
$13,946 Vol.
$13,946 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
85%
Partito Democratico
16%
$13,946 Vol.
$13,946 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
$8,720 Vol.
85%
Partito Democratico
$5,226 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. John Carter's decisive March 3 primary win with nearly 60% of the vote against nine challengers solidified his nomination in Texas's 31st Congressional District, a Solid Republican seat per Cook Political Report with an R+11 partisan voting index covering Austin exurbs like Georgetown and Killeen. Democrat Justin Early secured his party's nomination with 58%, but faces long odds amid Carter's fundraising dominance—$246,000 cash on hand to Early's $8,000 as of late March—and the district's consistent GOP performance. No public polling has emerged since primaries, leaving trader consensus reflecting incumbency advantage and partisan lean ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$13,946Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. John Carter's decisive March 3 primary win with nearly 60% of the vote against nine challengers solidified his nomination in Texas's 31st Congressional District, a Solid Republican seat per Cook Political Report with an R+11 partisan voting index covering Austin exurbs like Georgetown and Killeen. Democrat Justin Early secured his party's nomination with 58%, but faces long odds amid Carter's fundraising dominance—$246,000 cash on hand to Early's $8,000 as of late March—and the district's consistent GOP performance. No public polling has emerged since primaries, leaving trader consensus reflecting incumbency advantage and partisan lean ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$13,946Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rep. John Carter's decisive March 3 primary win with nearly 60% of the vote against nine challengers solidified his nomination in Texas's 31st Congressional District, a Solid Republican seat per Cook Political Report with an R+11 partisan voting index covering Austin exurbs like Georgetown and Killeen. Democrat Justin Early secured his party's nomination with 58%, but faces long odds amid Carter's fundraising dominance—$246,000 cash on hand to Early's $8,000 as of late March—and the district's consistent GOP performance. No public polling has emerged since primaries, leaving trader consensus reflecting incumbency advantage and partisan lean ahead of the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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