Texas's 31st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in the Cook Political Report's Solid Republican rating and a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by double digits. Incumbent Representative John Carter secured the Republican nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote, while Democrat Justin Early advanced from his party's primary. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, and no significant shifts in voter registration, fundraising, or polling trends since the primaries, traders assign an 85 percent implied probability to a Republican victory, consistent with the district's established electoral patterns and limited competitive dynamics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTX-31 Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali
TX-31 Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali
$13,946 Vol.
$13,946 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
85%
Partito Democratico
16%
$13,946 Vol.
$13,946 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
$8,720 Vol.
85%
Partito Democratico
$5,226 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 31st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in the Cook Political Report's Solid Republican rating and a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by double digits. Incumbent Representative John Carter secured the Republican nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote, while Democrat Justin Early advanced from his party's primary. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, and no significant shifts in voter registration, fundraising, or polling trends since the primaries, traders assign an 85 percent implied probability to a Republican victory, consistent with the district's established electoral patterns and limited competitive dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$13,946Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 31st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in the Cook Political Report's Solid Republican rating and a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by double digits. Incumbent Representative John Carter secured the Republican nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote, while Democrat Justin Early advanced from his party's primary. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, and no significant shifts in voter registration, fundraising, or polling trends since the primaries, traders assign an 85 percent implied probability to a Republican victory, consistent with the district's established electoral patterns and limited competitive dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$13,946Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 31st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in the Cook Political Report's Solid Republican rating and a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by double digits. Incumbent Representative John Carter secured the Republican nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote, while Democrat Justin Early advanced from his party's primary. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, and no significant shifts in voter registration, fundraising, or polling trends since the primaries, traders assign an 85 percent implied probability to a Republican victory, consistent with the district's established electoral patterns and limited competitive dynamics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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