Chris Stigall secured the Republican nomination in Missouri's 6th District after incumbent Sam Graves retired, winning the August 2026 primary in a crowded field with endorsements from party figures and alignment on agriculture and rural issues. The district's consistent Republican performance in prior cycles, including Graves's 70 percent-plus margins, underpins the current trader consensus favoring Stigall in the November general election against Democrat Josh Smead. Smead prevailed in his party's primary but faces structural headwinds in a seat rated safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national political shift, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow the margin, though historical voting patterns and the open-seat dynamics have reinforced Stigall's position.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMO-06 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
MO-06 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
$46,440 Vol.
$46,440 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Chris Stigall (R)
95%
Josh Smead (D)
6%
$46,440 Vol.
$46,440 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Chris Stigall (R)
$27,455 Vol.
95%
Josh Smead (D)
$18,985 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Chris Stigall secured the Republican nomination in Missouri's 6th District after incumbent Sam Graves retired, winning the August 2026 primary in a crowded field with endorsements from party figures and alignment on agriculture and rural issues. The district's consistent Republican performance in prior cycles, including Graves's 70 percent-plus margins, underpins the current trader consensus favoring Stigall in the November general election against Democrat Josh Smead. Smead prevailed in his party's primary but faces structural headwinds in a seat rated safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national political shift, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow the margin, though historical voting patterns and the open-seat dynamics have reinforced Stigall's position.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$46,440Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Chris Stigall secured the Republican nomination in Missouri's 6th District after incumbent Sam Graves retired, winning the August 2026 primary in a crowded field with endorsements from party figures and alignment on agriculture and rural issues. The district's consistent Republican performance in prior cycles, including Graves's 70 percent-plus margins, underpins the current trader consensus favoring Stigall in the November general election against Democrat Josh Smead. Smead prevailed in his party's primary but faces structural headwinds in a seat rated safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national political shift, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow the margin, though historical voting patterns and the open-seat dynamics have reinforced Stigall's position.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$46,440Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Chris Stigall secured the Republican nomination in Missouri's 6th District after incumbent Sam Graves retired, winning the August 2026 primary in a crowded field with endorsements from party figures and alignment on agriculture and rural issues. The district's consistent Republican performance in prior cycles, including Graves's 70 percent-plus margins, underpins the current trader consensus favoring Stigall in the November general election against Democrat Josh Smead. Smead prevailed in his party's primary but faces structural headwinds in a seat rated safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national political shift, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow the margin, though historical voting patterns and the open-seat dynamics have reinforced Stigall's position.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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