The Texas 11th congressional district's entrenched Republican advantage, reinforced by its West Texas demographics and consistent electoral history, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent August Pfluger secured the Republican primary in March 2026 without significant opposition and faces Democratic nominee Claire Reynolds in the November general election. The seat's solid partisan baseline, limited Democratic fundraising, and absence of competitive primaries or major scandals have kept probabilities stable. Late developments such as unexpected national shifts, candidate health issues, or unusual turnout patterns could still narrow the margin, though structural factors in the district limit realistic paths to an upset.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTX-11 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
TX-11 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
$24,919 Vol.
$24,919 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
94%
Partito Democratico
7%
$24,919 Vol.
$24,919 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
$6,676 Vol.
94%
Partito Democratico
$18,243 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 11th congressional district's entrenched Republican advantage, reinforced by its West Texas demographics and consistent electoral history, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent August Pfluger secured the Republican primary in March 2026 without significant opposition and faces Democratic nominee Claire Reynolds in the November general election. The seat's solid partisan baseline, limited Democratic fundraising, and absence of competitive primaries or major scandals have kept probabilities stable. Late developments such as unexpected national shifts, candidate health issues, or unusual turnout patterns could still narrow the margin, though structural factors in the district limit realistic paths to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$24,919Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 11th congressional district's entrenched Republican advantage, reinforced by its West Texas demographics and consistent electoral history, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent August Pfluger secured the Republican primary in March 2026 without significant opposition and faces Democratic nominee Claire Reynolds in the November general election. The seat's solid partisan baseline, limited Democratic fundraising, and absence of competitive primaries or major scandals have kept probabilities stable. Late developments such as unexpected national shifts, candidate health issues, or unusual turnout patterns could still narrow the margin, though structural factors in the district limit realistic paths to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$24,919Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Texas 11th congressional district's entrenched Republican advantage, reinforced by its West Texas demographics and consistent electoral history, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent August Pfluger secured the Republican primary in March 2026 without significant opposition and faces Democratic nominee Claire Reynolds in the November general election. The seat's solid partisan baseline, limited Democratic fundraising, and absence of competitive primaries or major scandals have kept probabilities stable. Late developments such as unexpected national shifts, candidate health issues, or unusual turnout patterns could still narrow the margin, though structural factors in the district limit realistic paths to an upset.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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