Incumbent Republican Pat Fallon secured his party's nomination for Texas's 4th Congressional District with more than 80 percent of the primary vote in March 2026, while Democrat Jason Pearce narrowly advanced as his party's nominee. The district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and Cook Political Report Solid R rating, continues to drive trader consensus toward the Republican outcome at 85.5 percent. Redistricting maintained the area's suburban and rural makeup favoring GOP candidates, and no significant polling shifts or campaign developments have altered the baseline expectations ahead of the November general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTX-04 House Election Winner
TX-04 House Election Winner
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
86%
Democratic Party
15%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
$1,664 Vol.
86%
Democratic Party
$1,842 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Pat Fallon secured his party's nomination for Texas's 4th Congressional District with more than 80 percent of the primary vote in March 2026, while Democrat Jason Pearce narrowly advanced as his party's nominee. The district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and Cook Political Report Solid R rating, continues to drive trader consensus toward the Republican outcome at 85.5 percent. Redistricting maintained the area's suburban and rural makeup favoring GOP candidates, and no significant polling shifts or campaign developments have altered the baseline expectations ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$3,506Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Pat Fallon secured his party's nomination for Texas's 4th Congressional District with more than 80 percent of the primary vote in March 2026, while Democrat Jason Pearce narrowly advanced as his party's nominee. The district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and Cook Political Report Solid R rating, continues to drive trader consensus toward the Republican outcome at 85.5 percent. Redistricting maintained the area's suburban and rural makeup favoring GOP candidates, and no significant polling shifts or campaign developments have altered the baseline expectations ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$3,506Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Pat Fallon secured his party's nomination for Texas's 4th Congressional District with more than 80 percent of the primary vote in March 2026, while Democrat Jason Pearce narrowly advanced as his party's nominee. The district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and Cook Political Report Solid R rating, continues to drive trader consensus toward the Republican outcome at 85.5 percent. Redistricting maintained the area's suburban and rural makeup favoring GOP candidates, and no significant polling shifts or campaign developments have altered the baseline expectations ahead of the November general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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