Ben McAdams holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Utah's 1st Congressional District seat due to the court-ordered redistricting that created a solidly Democratic-leaning district centered on Salt Lake City, where Kamala Harris carried the area by roughly 24 points in the prior cycle. McAdams secured the Democratic nomination in June with about 60 percent of the primary vote against progressive challengers, drawing on his prior service as a U.S. representative and Salt Lake County mayor. Republican nominee Riley Owen, a Navy Reserve intelligence officer, faces structural disadvantages in the D+12 district with no recent polling shifts or major campaign developments altering the outlook ahead of the November general election. Late-breaking events such as scandals or national political realignments remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$42,200 Vol.
$42,200 Vol.
4 nov 2026
Ben McAdams (D)
95%
Riley Owen (R)
4%
$42,200 Vol.
$42,200 Vol.
4 nov 2026
Ben McAdams (D)
$5,649 Vol.
95%
Riley Owen (R)
$36,552 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ben McAdams holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Utah's 1st Congressional District seat due to the court-ordered redistricting that created a solidly Democratic-leaning district centered on Salt Lake City, where Kamala Harris carried the area by roughly 24 points in the prior cycle. McAdams secured the Democratic nomination in June with about 60 percent of the primary vote against progressive challengers, drawing on his prior service as a U.S. representative and Salt Lake County mayor. Republican nominee Riley Owen, a Navy Reserve intelligence officer, faces structural disadvantages in the D+12 district with no recent polling shifts or major campaign developments altering the outlook ahead of the November general election. Late-breaking events such as scandals or national political realignments remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Volume
$42,200Data di fine
5 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ben McAdams holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Utah's 1st Congressional District seat due to the court-ordered redistricting that created a solidly Democratic-leaning district centered on Salt Lake City, where Kamala Harris carried the area by roughly 24 points in the prior cycle. McAdams secured the Democratic nomination in June with about 60 percent of the primary vote against progressive challengers, drawing on his prior service as a U.S. representative and Salt Lake County mayor. Republican nominee Riley Owen, a Navy Reserve intelligence officer, faces structural disadvantages in the D+12 district with no recent polling shifts or major campaign developments altering the outlook ahead of the November general election. Late-breaking events such as scandals or national political realignments remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$42,200Data di fine
5 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Ben McAdams holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Utah's 1st Congressional District seat due to the court-ordered redistricting that created a solidly Democratic-leaning district centered on Salt Lake City, where Kamala Harris carried the area by roughly 24 points in the prior cycle. McAdams secured the Democratic nomination in June with about 60 percent of the primary vote against progressive challengers, drawing on his prior service as a U.S. representative and Salt Lake County mayor. Republican nominee Riley Owen, a Navy Reserve intelligence officer, faces structural disadvantages in the D+12 district with no recent polling shifts or major campaign developments altering the outlook ahead of the November general election. Late-breaking events such as scandals or national political realignments remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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