Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell commands 69% trader consensus to win Missouri's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, buoyed by his 2024 primary upset over Cori Bush, strong fundraising with a cash-on-hand lead as of early 2026, and incumbency advantages like name recognition among St. Louis-area voters. Bush trails at 31% despite a HIT Strategies poll released mid-April—conducted February among likely Democratic primary voters—showing them statistically tied at 40% Bush to 44% Bell with 17% undecided and Bush holding higher favorability; traders discount the Bush-commissioned survey amid her prior loss. Bell recently challenged Bush to a debate series, potentially testing voter turnout in this rematch-heavy contest.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNUOVO
NUOVO
4 ago 2026
Wesley Bell
69%
Cori Bush
31%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ago 2026
Wesley Bell
$2,975 Vol.
69%
Cori Bush
$2,474 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell commands 69% trader consensus to win Missouri's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, buoyed by his 2024 primary upset over Cori Bush, strong fundraising with a cash-on-hand lead as of early 2026, and incumbency advantages like name recognition among St. Louis-area voters. Bush trails at 31% despite a HIT Strategies poll released mid-April—conducted February among likely Democratic primary voters—showing them statistically tied at 40% Bush to 44% Bell with 17% undecided and Bush holding higher favorability; traders discount the Bush-commissioned survey amid her prior loss. Bell recently challenged Bush to a debate series, potentially testing voter turnout in this rematch-heavy contest.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercato aperto: Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET
Volume
$5,449Data di fine
4 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell commands 69% trader consensus to win Missouri's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, buoyed by his 2024 primary upset over Cori Bush, strong fundraising with a cash-on-hand lead as of early 2026, and incumbency advantages like name recognition among St. Louis-area voters. Bush trails at 31% despite a HIT Strategies poll released mid-April—conducted February among likely Democratic primary voters—showing them statistically tied at 40% Bush to 44% Bell with 17% undecided and Bush holding higher favorability; traders discount the Bush-commissioned survey amid her prior loss. Bell recently challenged Bush to a debate series, potentially testing voter turnout in this rematch-heavy contest.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$5,449Data di fine
4 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell commands 69% trader consensus to win Missouri's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, buoyed by his 2024 primary upset over Cori Bush, strong fundraising with a cash-on-hand lead as of early 2026, and incumbency advantages like name recognition among St. Louis-area voters. Bush trails at 31% despite a HIT Strategies poll released mid-April—conducted February among likely Democratic primary voters—showing them statistically tied at 40% Bush to 44% Bell with 17% undecided and Bush holding higher favorability; traders discount the Bush-commissioned survey amid her prior loss. Bell recently challenged Bush to a debate series, potentially testing voter turnout in this rematch-heavy contest.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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