Minnesota’s 2nd congressional district remains a competitive open seat in the 2026 midterms after longtime Democratic incumbent Angie Craig opted to run for U.S. Senate instead. The district’s D+3 partisan lean and recent Democratic wins provide a modest structural edge, yet the absence of an incumbent has drawn multiple well-funded candidates into both primaries set for August 11. On the Democratic side, Matt Little secured the party endorsement at the May 9 convention and leads early fundraising and straw polls, while Republicans field state Sen. Eric Pratt and others hoping to capitalize on the vacancy. These dynamics, combined with the district’s history of narrow margins in presidential races, sustain tight trader pricing as the race heads into primary season.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMN-02 House Election Winner
Republican Party
25%
Democratic Party
62%
Republican Party
25%
Democratic Party
62%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota’s 2nd congressional district remains a competitive open seat in the 2026 midterms after longtime Democratic incumbent Angie Craig opted to run for U.S. Senate instead. The district’s D+3 partisan lean and recent Democratic wins provide a modest structural edge, yet the absence of an incumbent has drawn multiple well-funded candidates into both primaries set for August 11. On the Democratic side, Matt Little secured the party endorsement at the May 9 convention and leads early fundraising and straw polls, while Republicans field state Sen. Eric Pratt and others hoping to capitalize on the vacancy. These dynamics, combined with the district’s history of narrow margins in presidential races, sustain tight trader pricing as the race heads into primary season.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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