Georgia's 4th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in the Cook Political Report's Solid Democratic rating and consistent two-decade history of Democratic victories. Incumbent Hank Johnson secured the Democratic nomination on May 19, 2026, with roughly 80 percent of the primary vote against two challengers, while Republican James Duffie advanced unopposed. These results align with the district's D+24 partisan lean and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure or recent polling shifts. Traders have priced the Democratic outcome accordingly, though late developments such as a major candidate scandal, health event, or significant national political realignment before November 3 could still alter the general election dynamics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoGA-04 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
$34,495 Vol.
$34,495 Vol.
Partito Democratico
94%
Partito Repubblicano
5%
$34,495 Vol.
$34,495 Vol.
Partito Democratico
94%
Partito Repubblicano
5%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Georgia's 4th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in the Cook Political Report's Solid Democratic rating and consistent two-decade history of Democratic victories. Incumbent Hank Johnson secured the Democratic nomination on May 19, 2026, with roughly 80 percent of the primary vote against two challengers, while Republican James Duffie advanced unopposed. These results align with the district's D+24 partisan lean and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure or recent polling shifts. Traders have priced the Democratic outcome accordingly, though late developments such as a major candidate scandal, health event, or significant national political realignment before November 3 could still alter the general election dynamics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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