The district's heavily Democratic voter registration and consistent performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at over 90 percent. Incumbent Representative Judy Chu faces limited primary opposition ahead of the June 2 top-two contest, while the Republican candidate trails significantly in a seat rated solid Democratic by nonpartisan analysts. This positioning aligns with historical patterns in urban and suburban Los Angeles County districts where Democratic margins have exceeded 20 points. A late national political shift, unexpected primary upset, or unusually high Republican turnout in the November general could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability given the district's structural makeup.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera CA-28
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera CA-28
$95,606 Vol.
$95,606 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
91%
Partito Repubblicano
9%
$95,606 Vol.
$95,606 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$42,629 Vol.
91%
Partito Repubblicano
$52,978 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's heavily Democratic voter registration and consistent performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at over 90 percent. Incumbent Representative Judy Chu faces limited primary opposition ahead of the June 2 top-two contest, while the Republican candidate trails significantly in a seat rated solid Democratic by nonpartisan analysts. This positioning aligns with historical patterns in urban and suburban Los Angeles County districts where Democratic margins have exceeded 20 points. A late national political shift, unexpected primary upset, or unusually high Republican turnout in the November general could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability given the district's structural makeup.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volume
$95,606Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's heavily Democratic voter registration and consistent performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at over 90 percent. Incumbent Representative Judy Chu faces limited primary opposition ahead of the June 2 top-two contest, while the Republican candidate trails significantly in a seat rated solid Democratic by nonpartisan analysts. This positioning aligns with historical patterns in urban and suburban Los Angeles County districts where Democratic margins have exceeded 20 points. A late national political shift, unexpected primary upset, or unusually high Republican turnout in the November general could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability given the district's structural makeup.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$95,606Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's heavily Democratic voter registration and consistent performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at over 90 percent. Incumbent Representative Judy Chu faces limited primary opposition ahead of the June 2 top-two contest, while the Republican candidate trails significantly in a seat rated solid Democratic by nonpartisan analysts. This positioning aligns with historical patterns in urban and suburban Los Angeles County districts where Democratic margins have exceeded 20 points. A late national political shift, unexpected primary upset, or unusually high Republican turnout in the November general could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability given the district's structural makeup.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti