Longtime Democratic incumbent Zoe Lofgren's strong position in California's 18th congressional district reflects the area's consistent partisan lean, her repeated reelection margins exceeding 60 percent, and her advancement through the June 2026 primary with over half the vote against Republican Shane Lewis and other challengers. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic based on voter registration patterns and historical turnout. The November general election outcome could shift only with an unforeseen development such as a significant scandal, candidate health event, or national political realignment that alters local preferences before ballots are cast.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera CA-18
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera CA-18
$35,355 Vol.
$35,355 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
94%
Partito Repubblicano
4%
$35,355 Vol.
$35,355 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$16,690 Vol.
94%
Partito Repubblicano
$18,665 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Longtime Democratic incumbent Zoe Lofgren's strong position in California's 18th congressional district reflects the area's consistent partisan lean, her repeated reelection margins exceeding 60 percent, and her advancement through the June 2026 primary with over half the vote against Republican Shane Lewis and other challengers. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic based on voter registration patterns and historical turnout. The November general election outcome could shift only with an unforeseen development such as a significant scandal, candidate health event, or national political realignment that alters local preferences before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$35,355Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Longtime Democratic incumbent Zoe Lofgren's strong position in California's 18th congressional district reflects the area's consistent partisan lean, her repeated reelection margins exceeding 60 percent, and her advancement through the June 2026 primary with over half the vote against Republican Shane Lewis and other challengers. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic based on voter registration patterns and historical turnout. The November general election outcome could shift only with an unforeseen development such as a significant scandal, candidate health event, or national political realignment that alters local preferences before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$35,355Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Longtime Democratic incumbent Zoe Lofgren's strong position in California's 18th congressional district reflects the area's consistent partisan lean, her repeated reelection margins exceeding 60 percent, and her advancement through the June 2026 primary with over half the vote against Republican Shane Lewis and other challengers. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic based on voter registration patterns and historical turnout. The November general election outcome could shift only with an unforeseen development such as a significant scandal, candidate health event, or national political realignment that alters local preferences before ballots are cast.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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