French President Emmanuel Macron's second term, set to conclude in April 2027 after presidential elections, remains stable amid a hung parliament from the 2024 snap legislative elections that produced multiple prime ministerial changes and budget battles. Recent passage of the 2026 budget in February, survival of no-confidence votes in January, and mixed municipal election results in March—where far-right parties gained ground while centrists weakened—have eased immediate crises without triggering resignation calls or early exit pressures. Macron, constitutionally barred from re-election, faces no-confidence threats limited to the government rather than the presidency, with upcoming 2027 polls dominating focus; traders weigh low historical precedent for mid-term presidential departures absent health or scandal developments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$1,921,527 Vol.
30 giu 2026
30 giugno 2026
2%
$1,921,527 Vol.
30 giugno 2026
$329,683 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between October 6, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.French President Emmanuel Macron's second term, set to conclude in April 2027 after presidential elections, remains stable amid a hung parliament from the 2024 snap legislative elections that produced multiple prime ministerial changes and budget battles. Recent passage of the 2026 budget in February, survival of no-confidence votes in January, and mixed municipal election results in March—where far-right parties gained ground while centrists weakened—have eased immediate crises without triggering resignation calls or early exit pressures. Macron, constitutionally barred from re-election, faces no-confidence threats limited to the government rather than the presidency, with upcoming 2027 polls dominating focus; traders weigh low historical precedent for mid-term presidential departures absent health or scandal developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Sep 14, 2025, 5:20 PM ET
Volume
$1,921,527Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 14, 2025, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between October 6, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.French President Emmanuel Macron's second term, set to conclude in April 2027 after presidential elections, remains stable amid a hung parliament from the 2024 snap legislative elections that produced multiple prime ministerial changes and budget battles. Recent passage of the 2026 budget in February, survival of no-confidence votes in January, and mixed municipal election results in March—where far-right parties gained ground while centrists weakened—have eased immediate crises without triggering resignation calls or early exit pressures. Macron, constitutionally barred from re-election, faces no-confidence threats limited to the government rather than the presidency, with upcoming 2027 polls dominating focus; traders weigh low historical precedent for mid-term presidential departures absent health or scandal developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$1,921,527Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 14, 2025, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...French President Emmanuel Macron's second term, set to conclude in April 2027 after presidential elections, remains stable amid a hung parliament from the 2024 snap legislative elections that produced multiple prime ministerial changes and budget battles. Recent passage of the 2026 budget in February, survival of no-confidence votes in January, and mixed municipal election results in March—where far-right parties gained ground while centrists weakened—have eased immediate crises without triggering resignation calls or early exit pressures. Macron, constitutionally barred from re-election, faces no-confidence threats limited to the government rather than the presidency, with upcoming 2027 polls dominating focus; traders weigh low historical precedent for mid-term presidential departures absent health or scandal developments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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