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Elezioni·Elezioni Globali

Liberals Up or Down for Canada Seats Polls this week?

Market icon
Elezioni·Elezioni Globali

Liberals Up or Down for Canada Seats Polls this week?

mar 29

mar 29

Up

0% probabilità
Polymarket

$29 Vol.

Up

0% probabilità
Polymarket

$29 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC)'s 338Canada Seat Projection is higher on April 5, 2026, than on March 29, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC)'s 338Canada Seat Projection is higher on March 29, 2026, than on April 5, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC)'s 338Canada Seat Projection is the same on both dates. Confidence intervals will not be considered; only the main seat projection number will be used. If no data point is published for the latter reference date by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, this market will resolve to 50-50. This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published. This market will resolve solely based on the seat projections for the specified party on 338Canada Federal Projections (https://338canada.com/federal.htm#projection). If the website is unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. Note: Only the 338Canada “338Canada Seat Projection” values for the LPC will qualify, regardless of confidence intervals, methodological changes, or projections by other sources.Trader consensus on Polymarket leans slightly toward "Down" at 54% for Liberal projected seats in Canadian federal polls this week, reflecting mixed signals from recent surveys amid Prime Minister Mark Carney's freshly secured majority government following the April 13 byelection sweep of three key ridings. Aggregators like 338Canada (April 12 update) project Liberals at 210 seats on 43% vote share, down from prior highs around 220-223 in models like The Writ and Poliwave, as polls from Abacus (44%), Liaison (43%), and Nanos (45%) show modest softening versus earlier March peaks despite a 10-point national lead over Conservatives. The contest remains tight due to no post-byelection polls yet; upward momentum could emerge from byelection glow and Carney's affordability focus, while downward pressure might stem from Conservative attacks on economic pressures or regional NDP/Bloc resilience in Quebec and Prairies.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC)'s 338Canada Seat Projection is higher on April 5, 2026, than on March 29, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC)'s 338Canada Seat Projection is higher on March 29, 2026, than on April 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC)'s 338Canada Seat Projection is the same on both dates.

Confidence intervals will not be considered; only the main seat projection number will be used.

If no data point is published for the latter reference date by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, this market will resolve to 50-50.

This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published.

This market will resolve solely based on the seat projections for the specified party on 338Canada Federal Projections (https://338canada.com/federal.htm#projection). If the website is unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again.

Note: Only the 338Canada “338Canada Seat Projection” values for the LPC will qualify, regardless of confidence intervals, methodological changes, or projections by other sources.
Volume
$29
Data di fine
29 mar 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 27, 2026, 6:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC)'s 338Canada Seat Projection is higher on April 5, 2026, than on March 29, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC)'s 338Canada Seat Projection is higher on March 29, 2026, than on April 5, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC)'s 338Canada Seat Projection is the same on both dates. Confidence intervals will not be considered; only the main seat projection number will be used. If no data point is published for the latter reference date by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, this market will resolve to 50-50. This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published. This market will resolve solely based on the seat projections for the specified party on 338Canada Federal Projections (https://338canada.com/federal.htm#projection). If the website is unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. Note: Only the 338Canada “338Canada Seat Projection” values for the LPC will qualify, regardless of confidence intervals, methodological changes, or projections by other sources.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC)'s 338Canada Seat Projection is higher on April 5, 2026, than on March 29, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC)'s 338Canada Seat Projection is higher on March 29, 2026, than on April 5, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC)'s 338Canada Seat Projection is the same on both dates. Confidence intervals will not be considered; only the main seat projection number will be used. If no data point is published for the latter reference date by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, this market will resolve to 50-50. This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published. This market will resolve solely based on the seat projections for the specified party on 338Canada Federal Projections (https://338canada.com/federal.htm#projection). If the website is unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. Note: Only the 338Canada “338Canada Seat Projection” values for the LPC will qualify, regardless of confidence intervals, methodological changes, or projections by other sources.Trader consensus on Polymarket leans slightly toward "Down" at 54% for Liberal projected seats in Canadian federal polls this week, reflecting mixed signals from recent surveys amid Prime Minister Mark Carney's freshly secured majority government following the April 13 byelection sweep of three key ridings. Aggregators like 338Canada (April 12 update) project Liberals at 210 seats on 43% vote share, down from prior highs around 220-223 in models like The Writ and Poliwave, as polls from Abacus (44%), Liaison (43%), and Nanos (45%) show modest softening versus earlier March peaks despite a 10-point national lead over Conservatives. The contest remains tight due to no post-byelection polls yet; upward momentum could emerge from byelection glow and Carney's affordability focus, while downward pressure might stem from Conservative attacks on economic pressures or regional NDP/Bloc resilience in Quebec and Prairies.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC)'s 338Canada Seat Projection is higher on April 5, 2026, than on March 29, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC)'s 338Canada Seat Projection is higher on March 29, 2026, than on April 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC)'s 338Canada Seat Projection is the same on both dates.

Confidence intervals will not be considered; only the main seat projection number will be used.

If no data point is published for the latter reference date by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, this market will resolve to 50-50.

This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published.

This market will resolve solely based on the seat projections for the specified party on 338Canada Federal Projections (https://338canada.com/federal.htm#projection). If the website is unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again.

Note: Only the 338Canada “338Canada Seat Projection” values for the LPC will qualify, regardless of confidence intervals, methodological changes, or projections by other sources.
Volume
$29
Data di fine
29 mar 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 27, 2026, 6:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC)'s 338Canada Seat Projection is higher on April 5, 2026, than on March 29, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC)'s 338Canada Seat Projection is higher on March 29, 2026, than on April 5, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC)'s 338Canada Seat Projection is the same on both dates. Confidence intervals will not be considered; only the main seat projection number will be used. If no data point is published for the latter reference date by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, this market will resolve to 50-50. This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published. This market will resolve solely based on the seat projections for the specified party on 338Canada Federal Projections (https://338canada.com/federal.htm#projection). If the website is unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. Note: Only the 338Canada “338Canada Seat Projection” values for the LPC will qualify, regardless of confidence intervals, methodological changes, or projections by other sources.

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Domande frequenti

"Liberals Up or Down for Canada Seats Polls this week?" è un mercato predittivo giornaliero su Polymarket dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni su se il prezzo di Liberals Up or Down for Canada Seats Polls this week? finirà più alto ("Su") o più basso ("Giù") rispetto al suo prezzo di apertura nella finestra giornaliero specificata nel titolo. La probabilità attuale del mercato è 50% per "Up". Un prezzo di 50% significa che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 50% a quell’esito. I prezzi si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader reagiscono ai movimenti di prezzo live di Liberals Up or Down for Canada Seats Polls this week?. Le azioni nell’esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Liberals Up or Down for Canada Seats Polls this week?" è un mercato attivo a breve termine su Polymarket. Il volume di trading può accumularsi rapidamente man mano che la finestra giornaliero progredisce — entra presto per contribuire a stabilire le quote prima che questa finestra si chiuda.

Per fare trading su "Liberals Up or Down for Canada Seats Polls this week?", decidi se credi che il prezzo di Liberals Up or Down for Canada Seats Polls this week? a mezzogiorno ET il March 28 sarà più alto ("Su") o più basso ("Giù") rispetto al prezzo di Liberals Up or Down for Canada Seats Polls this week? a mezzogiorno ET il March 27. Compra "Su" se pensi che il prezzo salirà da un giorno all’altro, o "Giù" se pensi che scenderà. Inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se l’esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione, ogni azione paga $1,00. Se errato, le azioni valgono $0.

La probabilità attuale per "Liberals Up or Down for Canada Seats Polls this week?" è 50% per "Up", il che significa che la comunità Polymarket assegna attualmente una probabilità di 50% che il prezzo di Liberals Up or Down for Canada Seats Polls this week? finisca up in questa finestra giornaliero. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader reagiscono ai dati di prezzo live di Liberals Up or Down for Canada Seats Polls this week?. In un’intera giornata, le quote riflettono il sentimento in evoluzione man mano che l’azione di prezzo della giornata si sviluppa. Controlla frequentemente o fai trading ora prima che la finestra si chiuda.

Il mercato "Liberals Up or Down for Canada Seats Polls this week?" si risolve in base a un confronto del prezzo di Liberals Up or Down for Canada Seats Polls this week? a mezzogiorno ET il March 28 rispetto a mezzogiorno ET il March 27, usando i prezzi di chiusura della candela di 1 minuto Binance LIBERALS/USDT. Se il prezzo a mezzogiorno del March 28 è più alto, l’esito è "Su"; se più basso, "Giù"; se uguale, il mercato si risolve 50-50. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione e la fonte dati nella sezione "Regole" su questa pagina.