Incumbent Democrat Morgan McGarvey faces Republican Maria Teresa Rodriguez in Kentucky’s 3rd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in nonpartisan race ratings classifying it as solid or safe for the party, underpins the 91.5 percent trader consensus favoring Democrats. McGarvey’s unopposed primary advance and the seat’s history of strong Democratic performance in federal contests have reinforced this positioning. A Republican victory would require an unusually large national swing against Democrats or an unforeseen local development such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, both of which remain low-probability factors given current conditions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoKY-03 Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali
KY-03 Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali
$17,688 Vol.
$17,688 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
93%
Partito Repubblicano
8%
$17,688 Vol.
$17,688 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$14,815 Vol.
93%
Partito Repubblicano
$2,973 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Morgan McGarvey faces Republican Maria Teresa Rodriguez in Kentucky’s 3rd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in nonpartisan race ratings classifying it as solid or safe for the party, underpins the 91.5 percent trader consensus favoring Democrats. McGarvey’s unopposed primary advance and the seat’s history of strong Democratic performance in federal contests have reinforced this positioning. A Republican victory would require an unusually large national swing against Democrats or an unforeseen local development such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, both of which remain low-probability factors given current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$17,688Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Morgan McGarvey faces Republican Maria Teresa Rodriguez in Kentucky’s 3rd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in nonpartisan race ratings classifying it as solid or safe for the party, underpins the 91.5 percent trader consensus favoring Democrats. McGarvey’s unopposed primary advance and the seat’s history of strong Democratic performance in federal contests have reinforced this positioning. A Republican victory would require an unusually large national swing against Democrats or an unforeseen local development such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, both of which remain low-probability factors given current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$17,688Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Morgan McGarvey faces Republican Maria Teresa Rodriguez in Kentucky’s 3rd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in nonpartisan race ratings classifying it as solid or safe for the party, underpins the 91.5 percent trader consensus favoring Democrats. McGarvey’s unopposed primary advance and the seat’s history of strong Democratic performance in federal contests have reinforced this positioning. A Republican victory would require an unusually large national swing against Democrats or an unforeseen local development such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, both of which remain low-probability factors given current conditions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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