Morena holds the strongest position in the Morelos state congress race ahead of the June 2027 election, reflected in trader consensus around 64 percent. The party currently controls 10 of 20 seats following its 2024 gains and benefits from favorable national polling trends showing it well ahead of opposition parties for the 2027 legislative contests. Local surveys in Morelos municipalities, including Cuernavaca, similarly place Morena first by wide margins. PAN trails significantly at roughly 10 percent amid fragmented opposition support, while PRI and smaller parties register minimal shares consistent with their weaker recent performances in the state. Pre-campaign activity for local and federal races begins in early 2027, with the mixed electoral system of single-member districts and proportional representation likely to favor the leading force.