Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty seeks a second term in Tennessee's U.S. Senate race, with primaries scheduled for August 6 and the general election on November 3, 2026. Traders assign the Republican outcome a 95.3% implied probability, reflecting the state's unbroken Republican Senate wins since 1990, consistent voter patterns in federal contests, and Hagerty's substantial fundraising edge. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican. A Democratic victory would require an unusually strong nominee, a pronounced national midterm shift favoring the opposition party, or unforeseen developments such as candidate health issues or major scandals that significantly alter the campaign environment before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$19,673 Vol.
$19,673 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Repubblicano
95%
Democratico
2%
$19,673 Vol.
$19,673 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Repubblicano
$10,651 Vol.
95%
Democratico
$9,022 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty seeks a second term in Tennessee's U.S. Senate race, with primaries scheduled for August 6 and the general election on November 3, 2026. Traders assign the Republican outcome a 95.3% implied probability, reflecting the state's unbroken Republican Senate wins since 1990, consistent voter patterns in federal contests, and Hagerty's substantial fundraising edge. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican. A Democratic victory would require an unusually strong nominee, a pronounced national midterm shift favoring the opposition party, or unforeseen developments such as candidate health issues or major scandals that significantly alter the campaign environment before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$19,673Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty seeks a second term in Tennessee's U.S. Senate race, with primaries scheduled for August 6 and the general election on November 3, 2026. Traders assign the Republican outcome a 95.3% implied probability, reflecting the state's unbroken Republican Senate wins since 1990, consistent voter patterns in federal contests, and Hagerty's substantial fundraising edge. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican. A Democratic victory would require an unusually strong nominee, a pronounced national midterm shift favoring the opposition party, or unforeseen developments such as candidate health issues or major scandals that significantly alter the campaign environment before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$19,673Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty seeks a second term in Tennessee's U.S. Senate race, with primaries scheduled for August 6 and the general election on November 3, 2026. Traders assign the Republican outcome a 95.3% implied probability, reflecting the state's unbroken Republican Senate wins since 1990, consistent voter patterns in federal contests, and Hagerty's substantial fundraising edge. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican. A Democratic victory would require an unusually strong nominee, a pronounced national midterm shift favoring the opposition party, or unforeseen developments such as candidate health issues or major scandals that significantly alter the campaign environment before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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